NFL · resolved market
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c21c04b0b331c22ad627663262ac3b012d4eec4c9a419325ad40fc6d2d0a53b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Ravens, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Steelers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Steelers | 50c | 19,587$9,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,793.39 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ravens | 50c | 17,981$8,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,951.95 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Ravens | 48c | 11,735$5,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,668.15 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 50c | 10,344$5,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.82 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Ravens | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Ravens | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Steelers | 51c | 9,646$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,740.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ravens | 47c | 8,362$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Steelers | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Ravens | 50c | 6,540$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Ravens | 50c | 5,524$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Steelers | 54c | 5,134$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Steelers | 50c | 3,485$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.5 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Steelers | 52c | 2,986$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.44 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 43cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Ravens | 50c | 2,797$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.67 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Ravens | 48c | 2,117$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.31 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Ravens | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Steelers | 50c | 1,986$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Ravens | 49c | 1,201$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…4d64backed Ravens | 51c | 1,196$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Ravens | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Steelers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Ravens | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Steelers | 50c | 1,000$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.99 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Steelers | 50c | 877$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Steelers | 50c | 860$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…da9dbacked Ravens | 48c | 816.77$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc719…2487backed Steelers | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Ravens | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ravens | 47c | 756$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.32 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Steelers | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Ravens | 54c | 615.62$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.81 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Steelers | 51c | 615.11$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Ravens | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Ravens | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ravens | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.38 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Steelers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Steelers | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Steelers | 46c | 480$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Steelers | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Ravens | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ravens | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Ravens | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Steelers | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Steelers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Ravens | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…9c86backed Ravens | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Ravens | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Ravens | 50c | 248.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.05 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…6786backed Steelers | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Ravens | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Ravens | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Ravens | 50c | 239.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Steelers | 38c | 232.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.17 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Steelers | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Ravens | 51c | 207.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…4198backed Ravens | 50c | 201$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Steelers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Steelers | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b8…799cbacked Ravens | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Ravens | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…a714backed Steelers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Steelers | 53c | 190.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Ravens | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Ravens | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Ravens | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ravens | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…8928backed Steelers | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ravens | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Ravens | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Ravens | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Ravens | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…4e70backed Steelers | 51c | 121.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Ravens | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Ravens | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Ravens | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Ravens | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Ravens | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Ravens | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Ravens | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Ravens | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Ravens | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Ravens | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Steelers | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…b4b0backed Steelers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…9972backed Steelers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Ravens | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Steelers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Steelers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…2597backed Ravens | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Ravens | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Steelers | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Steelers | 51c | 89.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Steelers | 49c | 88.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Ravens | 50c | 83.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Steelers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Ravens | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecd…cfddbacked Ravens | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ravens (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Ravens won
- Ravens vs. SteelersSteelers won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineRavens won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 32.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 37.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Ravens (-10.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-7.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-8.5)Steelers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.