TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x021a…b2d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
294
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST9641.7%40 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$73.86
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+568.3%+$227.33
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+144.9%+$675.77
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$46.98
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Texans vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 20.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$48.5
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST4951%25 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$70.43
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$95
Oregon vs. Indiana: 1H Moneylinebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$43.45
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$45.36
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Texas State (-18.5)backed Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$660
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+77.5%+$93.03
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$80
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$68.15
Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Texas (-7.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Vanderbilt (-4.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
USC vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+186.5%+$149.17
Spread: USC (-5.5)backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$32.66
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$42
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$178.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.95
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$42
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$21.24
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$93.85
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54.5
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+72.4%+$43.45
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+65.3%+$38.9
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Suns vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.1%+$42.35
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)backed Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Cameron Norrie vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.6
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Delray Beach Open: Zachary Svajda vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Kecmanovic (+1.5)backed Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$68.11
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-2.5) vs Darderi (+2.5)backed Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.77
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+376.2%+$75.24
Australian Open Women's: Karolina Muchova vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Set Handicap: Wu (-1.5) vs Spizzirri (+1.5)backed Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$55.59
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Ferybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$53.33
Australian Open Men's: Kamil Majchrzak vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$51.15
Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
ASB Classic: Cameron Norrie vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Opelka (+1.5)backed Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Adelaide International: Reilly Opelka vs Tommy Paulbacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$20
Brisbane International: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyukbacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+121.1%+$121.07
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+93.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$900
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$59.05
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$51.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$40.8
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+168.3%+$92.91
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52.3
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+400%+$112
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$38.5
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$62.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$186.67
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$110.48
Will Ivory Coast win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Will Cameroon win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Finney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$80
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$223.76
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29.2
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 The American Express tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.