NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bd9f1fca184261952623850e86ff52bba8c037692cb0e5c1bf15c2cf980ff7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $527,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 131,137$62,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,618.67 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 97,082$45,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,628.33 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Hornets | 53c | 83,909$44,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,437.33 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 53c | 45,500$24,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,393.26 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Hornets | 53c | 42,478$22,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,964.43 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets | 52c | 22,782$11,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,022.77 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 51c | 20,499$10,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,044.33 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Hornets | 54c | 18,175$9,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,405.48 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Hornets | 51c | 10,380$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,086.39 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 47c | 8,896$4,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.96 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2de…bd7fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 8,199$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 7,419$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…5750backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,066$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…76a6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,001$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 6,872$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…0380backed Grizzlies | 48c | 6,788$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…e2c6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 6,214$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…3ed0backed Hornets | 52c | 6,022$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf9…1954backed Grizzlies | 48c | 6,022$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Hornets | 53c | 5,301$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.45 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…b850backed Hornets | 52c | 5,044$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets | 52c | 4,526$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.48 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Hornets | 52c | 4,487$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.72 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Hornets | 53c | 4,277$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.67 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…0807backed Hornets | 52c | 4,141$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…964dbacked Hornets | 52c | 4,010$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,934$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.55 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 53c | 3,759$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.73 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…2140backed Hornets | 52c | 3,579$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…db9cbacked Hornets | 52c | 3,423$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f3…e913backed Hornets | 52c | 3,422$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x704e…ba96backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,067$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…28cbbacked Hornets | 53c | 3,044$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…30f2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 3,044$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…f36dbacked Hornets | 52c | 2,854$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,825$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.31 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x195c…06a3backed Hornets | 52c | 2,791$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2a…c13abacked Hornets | 52c | 2,778$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 36c | 2,691$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,401$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a4…1e46backed Hornets | 52c | 2,177$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa878…8d7fbacked Hornets | 52c | 2,022$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…74f2backed Hornets | 52c | 1,881$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…5c58backed Hornets | 52c | 1,844$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…c6cfbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,810$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,722$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Hornets | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,276$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.92 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…108bbacked Hornets | 52c | 1,223$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Hornets | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…4ff6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,044$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…442abacked Hornets | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…da0ebacked Hornets | 52c | 965.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.02 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Grizzlies | 48c | 917.49$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.11 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Hornets | 51c | 783$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.67 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Hornets | 54c | 726.31$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.02 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 585.55$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.35 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Grizzlies | 47c | 465.37$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Hornets | 52c | 410.39$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.99 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed Grizzlies | 48c | 395.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hornets | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Hornets | 53c | 375.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.68 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…32d3backed Hornets | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Hornets | 53c | 337$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 322.03$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.57 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Hornets | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 275.11$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Grizzlies | 47c | 219.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Hornets | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Grizzlies | 42c | 206.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Grizzlies | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Grizzlies | 48c | 196.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 41c | 183.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 69c | 156.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Hornets | 51c | 139.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 137.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Grizzlies | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets | 52c | 116.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Grizzlies | 48c | 111.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…dedebacked Hornets | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…3f17backed Grizzlies | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Hornets | 60c | 98.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hornets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Hornets | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 82.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 46c | 72.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 71.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Hornets | 52c | 65.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf86…b092backed Hornets | 68c | 64.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hornets | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 62.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Hornets | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-1.5)this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. GrizzliesHornets won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.