NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce6aa88579db6ec84727117cea315fd44a9bb25b0bdfd5c00ea2d7e7d8e78fd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies | 53c | 13,634$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,212.04 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 12,963$6,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,611.25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Hornets | 49c | 12,963$6,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,611.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 12,540$6,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,531.93 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 47c | 8,292$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Hornets | 48c | 8,142$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.98 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c89…fd37backed Hornets | 49c | 6,156$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…87fabacked Grizzlies | 51c | 5,356$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Hornets | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Hornets | 48c | 4,030$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.9 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Hornets | 74c | 3,395$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 3,040$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.8 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Grizzlies | 53c | 2,854$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Grizzlies | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Hornets | 50c | 2,491$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.83 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Hornets | 48c | 2,405$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.84 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Hornets | 61c | 2,350$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Grizzlies | 54c | 2,174$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.91 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,961$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.3 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,749$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.78 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc777…0c7bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,736$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,581$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.08 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.05 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Hornets | 47c | 1,374$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.15 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Hornets | 65c | 1,340$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.14 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Hornets | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets | 47c | 1,217$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.89 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Hornets | 48c | 1,093$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.36 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 47c | 1,044$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Hornets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 48c | 992.8$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa90c…3b42backed Hornets | 49c | 934$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Hornets | 47c | 904$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.12 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Hornets | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 49c | 848$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.68 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Hornets | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 50c | 774.56$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Hornets | 47c | 762.11$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.92 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Grizzlies | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Grizzlies | 51c | 676.69$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.36 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 50c | 619.49$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Hornets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Grizzlies | 53c | 470.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Hornets | 49c | 319.76$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.08 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Hornets | 66c | 302$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf89c…8937backed Hornets | 47c | 277.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Hornets | 47c | 272.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 52c | 252.43$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Grizzlies | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Grizzlies | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Hornets | 48c | 232.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a32…6bbebacked Hornets | 50c | 213$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd791…2eadbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 213$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf98f…e563backed Grizzlies | 52c | 205$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd935…6029backed Hornets | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Grizzlies | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…7377backed Grizzlies | 51c | 201$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf665…8298backed Hornets | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Grizzlies | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…70e2backed Hornets | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad3…377fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 199$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…f0e6backed Hornets | 49c | 196$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…9db1backed Grizzlies | 52c | 196$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…b48bbacked Hornets | 50c | 196$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hornets | 47c | 179.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…6351backed Hornets | 50c | 179$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…7b09backed Grizzlies | 51c | 179$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…69d4backed Hornets | 50c | 169.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Hornets | 47c | 163.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Grizzlies | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Hornets | 48c | 152.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Hornets | 49c | 145.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Grizzlies | 53c | 128.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets | 48c | 126.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Grizzlies | 53c | 123.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Grizzlies | 53c | 117.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Grizzlies | 54c | 106.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Hornets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 49c | 100.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Grizzlies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Grizzlies | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Hornets | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Grizzlies | 52c | 87.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Hornets | 48c | 83.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Hornets | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 52c | 57.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hornets | 46c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Grizzlies | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 43.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Hornets | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Hornets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Grizzlies | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Grizzlies | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Hornets | 49c | 39.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hornets | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. GrizzliesHornets won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.