NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7bab312a342e1f6a58688f2e7efbdb129d0ce102fe8eb3c43b8a036495b38f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 8,723$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,478.7 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 49c | 8,030$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.6 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 50c | 3,125$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.01 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 2,766$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.09 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,495$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 1,736$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.11 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.2 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 896.4$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.16 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 79c | 540.32$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.95 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 19c | 326$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.06 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 36c | 320.64$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.28 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 282.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 63c | 238.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ba…7212backed Over | 51c | 211$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…bf14backed Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…446fbacked Over | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…7ca9backed Under | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…8fb9backed Under | 50c | 188$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44de…e77fbacked Over | 51c | 187$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 147$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 95.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 36c | 89.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 49c | 79.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 24c | 79.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 72.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Under | 49c | 60.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…b35bbacked Under | 52c | 57.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 51.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 68c | 40.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 49c | 37.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 34.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 40c | 28.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…fe79backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 59c | 17.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. GrizzliesHornets won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.