NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0e7356466bd5a82d6c475f2a065975f7f9d4634872700fe9ac6783cb2849161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb06…9e42backed Over | 53c | 5,790$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…adbebacked Under | 48c | 5,497$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2c…80babacked Under | 48c | 5,483$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75e…df38backed Under | 48c | 5,373$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…38c8backed Under | 48c | 5,312$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf11…119bbacked Under | 48c | 5,300$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…0bc6backed Under | 48c | 5,244$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…152cbacked Over | 52c | 3,522$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…6788backed Under | 48c | 3,522$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…60fcbacked Under | 47c | 2,090$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…1046backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…8c0cbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…81c0backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…508fbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…4fa8backed Over | 52c | 1,973$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…af56backed Over | 52c | 1,967$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…ecddbacked Over | 52c | 1,884$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e23…8972backed Over | 52c | 1,880$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2f…c880backed Over | 52c | 1,819$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29f…5b81backed Over | 52c | 1,814$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e08…5708backed Over | 52c | 1,795$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2c…6dfdbacked Over | 52c | 1,763$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…7557backed Over | 52c | 1,725$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f6…6da5backed Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…0e7bbacked Over | 52c | 1,669$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x836e…4819backed Over | 52c | 1,648$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…cd92backed Over | 52c | 1,617$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…ffcfbacked Over | 52c | 1,597$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…0c13backed Over | 52c | 1,532$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…9d5ebacked Over | 52c | 1,526$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 376.19$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 299.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 47c | 259.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 175.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 34c | 101.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…436fbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 46c | 70.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 52.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Over | 53c | 28.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 53c | 25.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 48c | 22.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…0f44backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. GrizzliesHornets won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.