TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,993,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,038,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,993,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,029 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3d89…b02cbacked Hornets55c349,987$191,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158,497.162560%15 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies46c290,968$132,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,567.4851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Grizzlies45c222,106$99,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,947.646841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Hornets55c161,289$88,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,579.920055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Hornets55c136,363$74,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,432.9921057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies45c101,965$45,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,884.187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Grizzlies45c101,400$45,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,405.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies45c95,000$42,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,749.8872648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies46c86,333$39,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,568.072,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Hornets54c60,544$32,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,850.1719150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets55c53,026$28,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,074.922,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies46c44,896$20,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,449.31,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets55c40,163$22,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,085.452,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Hornets55c40,000$22,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,895.7823257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Grizzlies46c38,100$17,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,525.9739842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets54c37,105$20,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,068.341,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies45c30,497$13,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,704.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Hornets55c30,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,50014853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets54c30,000$16,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,80048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Grizzlies46c29,500$13,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,57023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets54c27,575$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,574.9476746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets72c25,498$18,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,114.581,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Hornets55c25,000$13,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,2508939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Grizzlies47c23,617$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,100.2116752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets54c21,723$11,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,992.4392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Grizzlies46c21,000$9,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,66020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Hornets55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.9929055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65e3…76bdbacked Hornets54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies46c20,000$9,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,115.5535450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Hornets54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.7760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Hornets54c19,338$10,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,835.0255346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Grizzlies46c17,670$8,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,128.230845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies46c16,250$7,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,445.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets55c15,295$8,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,882.861,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Grizzlies45c15,130$6,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,808.5211252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies33c14,594$4,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,844.584,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets54c13,949$7,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,422.951,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Hornets54c10,000$5,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,628.377348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Hornets54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60018151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Grizzlies46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60015841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Grizzlies46c10,000$4,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,574.9915349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Hornets67c9,823$6,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,201.476165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Grizzlies40c9,380$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,710.948956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked Grizzlies44c9,071$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Grizzlies45c8,926$4,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,016.721440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets66c8,830$5,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,968.9185344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Grizzlies47c8,511$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306a…0d29backed Hornets55c8,032$4,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,614.48048.8%39 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Grizzlies46c8,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6809054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Hornets54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.968640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies46c7,320$3,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,363.272,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets55c7,199$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.6445850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Hornets52c6,617$3,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,176.061,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets54c6,540$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.3959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Hornets55c6,501$3,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.4511244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Grizzlies44c6,500$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.9814055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Grizzlies45c6,462$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.0440350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Hornets54c6,411$3,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.1117356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Grizzlies46c5,680$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies46c5,600$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Grizzlies46c5,561$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.9328742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Hornets53c5,320$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.4920349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Grizzlies46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Grizzlies45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25015844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hornets55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Hornets54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3007943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Grizzlies20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hornets53c4,728$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.3735251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.9838750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8edb…5c68backed Grizzlies45c4,450$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Grizzlies46c4,349$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.43568.6%24 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies46c4,200$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Hornets53c4,182$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.5939958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Hornets55c4,042$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.7221546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb603…754bbacked Grizzlies45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies27c3,888$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Hornets54c3,621$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.859843.9%43 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Grizzlies33c3,515$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.3615547.1%73 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Hornets55c3,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5758246.3%38 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Grizzlies45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.9939349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Grizzlies46c3,380$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.7228439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hornets55c3,333$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.8576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies45c3,203$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.6665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Grizzlies47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Hornets63c3,110$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.4638046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Hornets54c3,000$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Hornets54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.9914346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Grizzlies44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9827051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.911,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies46c2,998$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.11,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Grizzlies46c2,910$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.5734654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets54c2,825$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Grizzlies45c2,730$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.510642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets54c2,690$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.639,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Hornets56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.5748938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Hornets54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Grizzlies46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1509758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.