TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3717…b35b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$28.7
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$27.89
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.7%+$19.8
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.29
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$29.69
Counter-Strike: paiN vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+217.7%+$64.64
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$65.52
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$55.16
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$34.87
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.34
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$89.1
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs ARCRED (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Fingers Crossed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.07
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$51.7
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$68.36
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.21
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST2454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+89.9%+$74.54
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+63.9%+$18.99
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+326%+$61.85
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.25
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$12.38
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.39
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.35
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.7
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO1)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+82.6%+$81.73
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.11
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.14
LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1)backed Zena Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+78.9%+$78.1
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+138.1%+$68.36
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+206.2%+$204.11
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$55.82
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+89.1%+$97.84
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.75
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$88.64
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$94.63
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" this week? (January 25)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.79
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.25
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+67.9%+$20.68
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+151.3%+$149.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+137.3%+$407.65
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+71.8%+$15.46
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+59.2%+$31.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+100%+$15.66
Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.41
Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.69
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.13
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.3
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.24
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.21
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.38
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.69
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Refuser - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30.78
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$59.38
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$50.58
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs strongboys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.52
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.3
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.3
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs strongboys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.13
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+58.1%+$23.01
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.25
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.