CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8126b48144a3a336f16d34371f1243ed5cf2f43bf52280d7d77809099971a218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85ca…b721backed paiN | 0c | 47,008$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis | 78c | 29,212$22,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,415.62 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked paiN | 57c | 8,800$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed paiN | 55c | 8,320$4,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,542.99 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked paiN | 55c | 5,626$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.29 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed paiN | 56c | 5,419$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.55 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Astralis | 45c | 5,138$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.15 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed paiN | 55c | 5,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.98 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 45c | 3,898$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.6 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked paiN | 56c | 3,480$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.55 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Astralis | 53c | 3,105$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.27 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Astralis | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed paiN | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked paiN | 41c | 2,934$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.9 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 65c | 2,920$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.75 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…b878backed Astralis | 51c | 2,846$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed paiN | 56c | 2,714$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Astralis | 70c | 2,618$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.4 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Astralis | 43c | 2,612$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.71 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed paiN | 54c | 2,550$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.5 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Astralis | 43c | 2,543$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.5 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Astralis | 44c | 2,270$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.2 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked paiN | 41c | 1,945$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.64 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked paiN | 48c | 1,923$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.48 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed paiN | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed paiN | 17c | 1,823$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabe…f1c9backed Astralis | 71c | 1,728$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN | 48c | 1,638$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Astralis | 54c | 1,630$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.93 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked Astralis | 46c | 1,611$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.92 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Astralis | 46c | 1,549$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.05 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Astralis | 43c | 1,521$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.97 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed paiN | 50c | 1,468$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Astralis | 46c | 1,398$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.83 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN | 13c | 1,363$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.64 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Astralis | 52c | 1,357$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.24 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 56c | 1,351$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.79 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Astralis | 44c | 1,176$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.5 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 59c | 1,173$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.77 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Astralis | 45c | 1,075$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.15 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed paiN | 57c | 1,058$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.14 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed paiN | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed paiN | 59c | 918.75$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.76 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Astralis | 41c | 888.75$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.36 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…a5c0backed paiN | 67c | 867.3$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.09 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 52c | 800$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.61 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…ec1bbacked Astralis | 53c | 749.61$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.31 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked paiN | 29c | 706.56$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.35 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Astralis | 43c | 701.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.14 | 293 | 47.1%138 W · 155 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Astralis | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Astralis | 44c | 669.52$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.93 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Astralis | 45c | 630$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked paiN | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Astralis | 46c | 606.23$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.86 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis | 40c | 599.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed paiN | 29c | 587.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis | 43c | 583.72$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.72 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis | 65c | 582$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed Astralis | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Astralis | 71c | 554.99$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Astralis | 61c | 531.3$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.08 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed paiN | 56c | 520.98$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.75 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Astralis | 44c | 520.8$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.65 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis | 79c | 509.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Astralis | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Astralis | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed paiN | 55c | 470.73$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.9 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Astralis | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Astralis | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Astralis | 59c | 424.26$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.55 | 618 | 54.9%339 W · 279 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed paiN | 52c | 409.75$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.84 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked paiN | 62c | 406.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed paiN | 50c | 400.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 41c | 399.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.45 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 50c | 394$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Astralis | 79c | 365.68$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed paiN | 49c | 352.62$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.37 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | -23.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis | 56c | 343.01$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Astralis | 44c | 339.22$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.96 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Astralis | 45c | 335$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.05 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Astralis | 46c | 327$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Astralis | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Astralis | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed paiN | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed paiN | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fd…a851backed paiN | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -11.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…5e35backed Astralis | 79c | 297.17$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3560backed Astralis | 63c | 280.76$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked paiN | 34c | 279$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 44c | 278.16$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.77 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis | 58c | 268.82$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed paiN | 68c | 262.91$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Astralis | 47c | 261.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked paiN | 44c | 229.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Astralis | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Astralis | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 772 | 47.8%369 W · 403 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Astralis | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed paiN | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Astralis | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.