CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb085cf19c81e4c5e288ee70965fd061fb463199a1db6aa73c289c8b5d5b576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Astralis | 60c | 3,325$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.05 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Astralis | 53c | 2,935$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.66 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 54c | 2,621$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.59 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked paiN | 38c | 2,575$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.27 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 47c | 2,382$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.06 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked Astralis | 58c | 2,206$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked paiN | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed paiN | 57c | 1,483$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.99 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed paiN | 47c | 1,238$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.02 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 55c | 1,054$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.96 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked paiN | 49c | 1,013$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.63 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN | 48c | 1,012$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.67 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed paiN | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN | 43c | 916.37$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.15 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Astralis | 44c | 781$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.34 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Astralis | 55c | 770$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.1 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Astralis | 34c | 730$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.1 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked paiN | 79c | 729.72$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.42 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN | 45c | 643.73$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.36 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed paiN | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 52c | 588.16$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.75 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Astralis | 27c | 574.04$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.23 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Astralis | 54c | 500$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked paiN | 49c | 450.89$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed paiN | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.85 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Astralis | 54c | 371.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.16 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Astralis | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Astralis | 55c | 309.75$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed paiN | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Astralis | 54c | 288.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.82 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN | 56c | 278$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed paiN | 50c | 274.76$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked Astralis | 56c | 274.61$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Astralis | 53c | 253.24$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Astralis | 46c | 218.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Astralis | 64c | 212.34$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed paiN | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed paiN | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Astralis | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Astralis | 52c | 168.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed paiN | 49c | 165$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…a7f6backed paiN | 24c | 160$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed paiN | 41c | 156.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Astralis | 51c | 153.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…76abbacked paiN | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Astralis | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Astralis | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…3627backed Astralis | 71c | 144.39$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed paiN | 35c | 131.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed paiN | 31c | 131$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked Astralis | 29c | 125$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…5c0abacked Astralis | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed paiN | 50c | 105.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astralis | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed paiN | 48c | 104.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked paiN | 52c | 102.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Astralis | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked paiN | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Astralis | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Astralis | 56c | 99.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed paiN | 35c | 88.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…540dbacked Astralis | 78c | 87.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed paiN | 43c | 79.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked paiN | 49c | 76.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed paiN | 44c | 74.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 159 | 58.5%93 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked paiN | 23c | 74.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…af12backed Astralis | 31c | 69.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed paiN | 59c | 69.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed paiN | 59c | 63.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed paiN | 47c | 63.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 68c | 61.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…178cbacked Astralis | 55c | 61.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…133cbacked paiN | 59c | 57.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked paiN | 45c | 56.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Astralis | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Astralis | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed paiN | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…4972backed Astralis | 76c | 44.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 92 | 73.9%68 W · 24 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Astralis | 56c | 42.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed paiN | 66c | 41.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…eb95backed paiN | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…5ddbbacked Astralis | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa961…9131backed paiN | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked paiN | 43c | 35.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked paiN | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…523fbacked paiN | 46c | 34.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…8e55backed paiN | 47c | 34.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed paiN | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…d220backed paiN | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed paiN | 38c | 30.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked paiN | 68c | 29.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Astralis | 41c | 28.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…de91backed paiN | 49c | 27.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Astralis | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Astralis | 50c | 26.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…cbe5backed Astralis | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Astralis | 51c | 20.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.