TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9160…de3d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
416
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT18040.6%73 W · 107 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 180 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$34.82
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs 6666 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8backed 6666 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$19.26
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffsbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+247.5%+$54.26
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+146.1%+$31.58
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.29
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$23.11
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.93
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.23
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$22.48
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 180 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT11534.8%40 W · 75 L-14.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$14.17
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$203.22
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$28
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.79
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.62
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$23.29
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$17.63
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.17
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.43
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)backed South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.24
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$17.68
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.42
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.57
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT8452.4%44 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.66
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+54.6%+$24.35
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$111.29
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200.44
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$296
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+41.3%+$165.36
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+90.5%+$684.51
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.9%+$827.16
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$256
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$650
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$106.48
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.9%+$480.88
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+206.3%+$308.39
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+113.2%+$407.42
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.5
LoL: DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+118.7%+$474.83
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$220
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: GAM Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+43.5%+$65.48
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+46.4%+$23.2
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.25
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$5
LoL: Axolotl vs Deacoy (BO1)backed Axolotl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs HMBLE (BO1)backed Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+54.3%+$126.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+139.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+134.6%+$269.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$14.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$422.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$375.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.