NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4864cfd9fd4307462f8608fd237ee5a4dbae10745e75e30c014122111040f16c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Rockets, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $462,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $481,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers | 50c | 120,873$60,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,445.4 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Rockets | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets | 50c | 60,261$30,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,128.07 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers | 49c | 39,807$19,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,301.54 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 21,200$10,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,241.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers | 51c | 16,316$8,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,982.54 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Rockets | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Pacers | 51c | 14,000$7,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,865.7 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 50c | 13,231$6,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,615.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pacers | 50c | 12,500$6,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,194.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Rockets | 50c | 11,013$5,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,506.61 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Rockets | 50c | 9,528$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.79 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 51c | 7,861$4,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.12 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pacers | 49c | 7,772$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.71 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Pacers | 57c | 7,731$4,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.24 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Rockets | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 50c | 7,200$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Pacers | 50c | 6,848$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.4 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Rockets | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Pacers | 51c | 4,314$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.73 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Rockets | 49c | 3,925$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rockets | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…502bbacked Rockets | 49c | 3,874$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…a01ebacked Pacers | 51c | 3,874$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 49c | 3,871$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…5056backed Pacers | 51c | 3,841$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…7fe1backed Rockets | 49c | 3,756$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c46…fe4ebacked Pacers | 51c | 3,744$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…aab8backed Rockets | 49c | 3,700$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…cd3fbacked Pacers | 51c | 3,655$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb3…fb4abacked Rockets | 49c | 3,654$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf1…26a7backed Pacers | 51c | 3,654$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac2…f057backed Rockets | 49c | 3,622$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…0592backed Rockets | 49c | 3,612$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…f202backed Pacers | 51c | 3,522$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…7255backed Rockets | 49c | 3,452$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0233…ad9ebacked Rockets | 49c | 3,366$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…0cf5backed Pacers | 51c | 3,321$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb971…a3a9backed Pacers | 51c | 3,312$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Pacers | 49c | 3,306$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.3 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…48cfbacked Rockets | 49c | 3,252$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…29d3backed Pacers | 51c | 3,235$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…4135backed Pacers | 51c | 3,224$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…8c9fbacked Rockets | 49c | 3,222$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…08e5backed Rockets | 49c | 3,221$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3884…b8efbacked Pacers | 51c | 3,174$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…5cf9backed Pacers | 51c | 3,155$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…ec8dbacked Pacers | 51c | 3,154$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Pacers | 50c | 3,152$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…2966backed Pacers | 51c | 3,152$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80df…85e2backed Rockets | 49c | 3,125$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d13…bfc1backed Pacers | 51c | 3,125$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…e0bdbacked Pacers | 51c | 3,125$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e5…3df6backed Rockets | 49c | 3,122$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…28f4backed Pacers | 51c | 3,122$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…6292backed Rockets | 49c | 3,122$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…d342backed Pacers | 51c | 3,122$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…1c21backed Rockets | 49c | 3,100$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…b8d5backed Rockets | 49c | 3,056$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x580f…8cc4backed Rockets | 49c | 3,052$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64cd…348bbacked Rockets | 49c | 3,022$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ab48backed Rockets | 49c | 3,011$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd672…c521backed Rockets | 49c | 2,985$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…a75bbacked Pacers | 51c | 2,866$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…4646backed Pacers | 51c | 2,857$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…82dfbacked Rockets | 49c | 2,856$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cd…d5d5backed Pacers | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a2dcbacked Pacers | 51c | 2,840$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…bf8abacked Rockets | 49c | 2,747$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…088cbacked Pacers | 53c | 2,434$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 49c | 2,376$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,282$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.62 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 50c | 2,042$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.06 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Pacers | 50c | 2,039$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.5 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pacers | 50c | 2,024$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.4 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Rockets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Rockets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Pacers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,768$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.71 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Pacers | 50c | 1,535$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.55 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Rockets | 49c | 1,470$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.3 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,142$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Pacers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pacers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…3e03backed Pacers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 44c | 920.2$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 49c | 906.66$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.33 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…6ca3backed Rockets | 49c | 870$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…551bbacked Pacers | 51c | 866$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…2f05backed Pacers | 51c | 859$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20a…9959backed Rockets | 49c | 855$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 50c | 819.58$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.03 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…bbd0backed Rockets | 49c | 766$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…e6fcbacked Pacers | 51c | 761$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…b0debacked Pacers | 51c | 760$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…118dbacked Rockets | 49c | 755$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Pacers | 50c | 719$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.5 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 42c | 705.4$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.31 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…14f1backed Rockets | 49c | 698$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…5d0dbacked Pacers | 51c | 695$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Clint Capela: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Rockets vs. PacersRockets won
- Rockets vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Pacers won
- Tari Eason: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.