TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Rockets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac0a…f89ebacked Rockets54c11,477$6,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,197.7938251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pacers59c7,023$4,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,895.481,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Rockets53c6,799$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.5746145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers47c4,835$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.972,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets53c4,076$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…a356backed Pacers47c3,888$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets55c3,881$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.632,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers46c3,833$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8846…17cfbacked Rockets53c3,655$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x809b…8ccebacked Rockets53c3,624$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f80…47efbacked Pacers47c3,511$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a6…78edbacked Pacers47c3,432$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0417…7628backed Rockets53c3,425$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74e…4eeebacked Pacers47c3,411$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9bf…6201backed Rockets53c3,411$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68a7…7519backed Pacers47c3,400$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets55c3,357$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.351,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891e…e9babacked Rockets53c3,350$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…8759backed Rockets53c3,311$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6247…bb50backed Pacers47c3,300$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb541…d7a4backed Rockets53c3,232$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcee…0176backed Rockets53c3,232$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5450…6b08backed Pacers47c3,166$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cab…00a4backed Pacers47c3,132$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Pacers46c3,126$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.0931455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Pacers46c3,120$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Pacers46c3,120$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.895651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Pacers49c3,120$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.242648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Rockets57c2,895$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.8528554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers46c2,283$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Pacers48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.332748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Rockets50c1,980$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.211,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rockets54c1,733$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.252,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Pacers46c1,590$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.7230157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets37c1,272$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.472,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers47c1,257$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Pacers47c1,012$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.4818743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Pacers45c1,006$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5945151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7885…e04fbacked Pacers47c992.18$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.882268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Pacers50c956$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47821852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe668…fecabacked Rockets59c950$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5621250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Rockets54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rockets43c894.04$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.231,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa192…d5eabacked Pacers49c873$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc107…23c6backed Rockets50c868$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3090…9df7backed Rockets50c841$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e42…1c9cbacked Rockets50c838$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca2…f2aabacked Pacers49c830$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…ab48backed Rockets53c763$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c54…5c67backed Pacers47c760$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b9…122bbacked Pacers47c759$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81cd…9f08backed Rockets53c756$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Pacers48c729.17$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.175042%21 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a66…337fbacked Pacers49c723$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers47c696.22$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.215,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers57c626.77$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.553,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Pacers52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Pacers45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4466046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers47c437.52$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.973,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pacers64c430.19$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.982,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Pacers48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockets53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Rockets54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a5…0a1abacked Rockets54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e2b…bc61backed Rockets51c341$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed Rockets55c334.55$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Pacers45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.334934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5df2…3503backed Pacers50c321$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pacers69c317.64$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.231,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pacers50c314.93$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc47f…b59cbacked Rockets51c310$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7057…9122backed Pacers50c303$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Pacers46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1624055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x645b…5895backed Pacers50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2108…c066backed Rockets50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Rockets42c299.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.453348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Rockets54c296.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x518f…f228backed Rockets51c288$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb4…3845backed Pacers50c288$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cf…361cbacked Pacers50c279$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ea…a8acbacked Pacers50c274$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fcc…58ddbacked Rockets51c270$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Pacers56c269.45$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.320741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Rockets56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Pacers49c266.61$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8866646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x616c…2d40backed Rockets51c255$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pacers46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48c8…e9e8backed Rockets51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Rockets55c249.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5e…a579backed Rockets51c245$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c2…c980backed Rockets51c244$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc69e…9deebacked Pacers50c244$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x600b…2dadbacked Rockets51c233$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers54c223.77$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Pacers45c222.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2215649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Pacers45c216$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.819647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c0…61aebacked Pacers50c214$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8366…46a7backed Pacers50c213$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockets48c210$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.291,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.