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NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$928,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$951,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $928,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c364,188$185,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178,493.9987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c350,000$171,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,5002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under51c60,095$30,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,531.257640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c50,000$24,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,0501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c22,641$11,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,225.172,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under6c22,437$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.742,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over49c20,392$9,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,400.1540350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Over51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80016752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over51c10,376$5,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,085.4238253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c9,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over52c7,994$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.644358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under49c7,055$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,434.061,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c6,608$3,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.073,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c6,000$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,91043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under49c5,969$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92524847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over50c5,433$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.513442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under49c4,988$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44424450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e86…d720backed Over51c4,864$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.24875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c4,825$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6442…aa08backed Under50c4,632$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfa7…77c2backed Under48c4,490$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over51c4,486$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.3245348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd243…f6f6backed Over52c4,206$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa569…03febacked Over52c4,192$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c5…13a1backed Over52c4,188$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064c…712cbacked Over52c4,144$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f7…d196backed Over52c4,140$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd34…7d09backed Over52c4,106$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1651…ddacbacked Over52c4,038$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ac…5890backed Over52c4,002$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfd…8848backed Over52c3,984$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under49c3,961$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.1771547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb70c…163fbacked Under47c3,888$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…e554backed Over52c3,868$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e58…754abacked Under47c3,866$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x554b…6855backed Under48c3,854$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8d…edd7backed Under48c3,852$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2c…90a0backed Under48c3,832$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec17…d348backed Under48c3,826$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0069…ab26backed Under48c3,814$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x202a…021ebacked Under48c3,814$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71bc…a188backed Over52c3,782$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x279a…bedfbacked Under48c3,752$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fab…1c90backed Over52c3,703$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c36…9a3cbacked Over52c3,702$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b7e…e5bcbacked Under48c3,699$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…bf66backed Over52c3,694$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19c6…cdcbbacked Over53c3,677$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ab…45ebbacked Under48c3,668$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db7…8701backed Under48c3,656$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c2…0040backed Over53c3,655$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ee…d4cabacked Over52c3,636$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4629…35e2backed Over52c3,628$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4c…c919backed Under48c3,616$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7846…60ddbacked Over52c3,603$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…bfffbacked Over52c3,601$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c9…8e96backed Under48c3,596$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x323f…a9e8backed Over52c3,584$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x026f…8bb4backed Under48c3,540$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0008…c072backed Over52c3,538$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x441c…17ecbacked Under48c3,534$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…b682backed Over52c3,534$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aca…3228backed Over52c3,524$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…db40backed Over52c3,522$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee0…8c8ebacked Under48c3,515$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ec…d5f3backed Under48c3,504$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee5…f91cbacked Under48c3,502$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c3,468$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.594,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…eb27backed Over52c3,464$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f7…569abacked Over53c3,456$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9767…a5b2backed Under47c3,456$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd3…4198backed Under48c3,455$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…3872backed Under48c3,455$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c3,455$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.291,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x262a…e900backed Over53c3,450$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc6…2c66backed Over52c3,414$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec2f…999ebacked Under48c3,411$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07fd…66e9backed Over52c3,406$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0026…fec7backed Under48c3,404$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66a4…a34bbacked Under48c3,404$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2b…f0b9backed Under48c3,402$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c90…23c2backed Over53c3,350$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…7168backed Under48c3,334$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31bf…ad1cbacked Over53c3,325$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd287…f567backed Over52c3,316$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e18…2ad5backed Under48c3,290$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4385…5e3ebacked Over52c3,290$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8299…7926backed Under47c3,287$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c3,261$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf293…8401backed Under48c3,256$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2dc…9b37backed Under47c3,250$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad2d…4df2backed Under48c3,240$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5f…ba20backed Under48c3,238$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7b…fb9ebacked Under48c3,233$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8349…8387backed Under48c3,233$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab68…4bd6backed Under48c3,226$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x754b…bef3backed Under48c3,215$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.