TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,970,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,225,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,970,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Rockets70c428,000$299,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,202.0723257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers31c367,387$115,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,065.4551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Rockets69c209,677$145,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,403.0248343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers13c134,935$17,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,925.821,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Pacers30c100,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers29c86,673$25,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,135.111,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Pacers30c77,200$23,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,213.333534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Rockets68c75,000$51,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,849.9615247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets68c72,930$49,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,372.642,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Pacers32c64,998$20,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,799.2814243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers20c55,294$10,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,978.151,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pacers31c54,999$16,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,899.7161851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Rockets68c50,000$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Pacers25c48,839$12,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,15518140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Rockets70c47,048$32,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,114.455655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets69c44,735$30,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,034.842,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Pacers30c43,905$13,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,171.3527747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Pacers28c37,134$10,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,419.8948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Pacers30c35,020$10,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,505.9915841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers30c35,000$10,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,349.9331445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pacers30c33,300$9,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,99059347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers28c30,450$8,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,483.614,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers30c27,418$8,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,33376746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Pacers30c26,766$8,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,029.830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pacers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Pacers34c24,924$8,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,414.8828742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pacers31c24,469$7,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,579.3945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Pacers31c23,584$7,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,311.0492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Pacers29c22,145$6,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,421.918961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Pacers0c20,850$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3740133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rockets68c20,793$14,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,592.6522458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Rockets70c20,035$14,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,010.519150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ee…eb13backed Pacers30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Rockets70c20,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets76c20,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets69c19,321$13,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,912.11,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Rockets70c18,126$12,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,437.8160351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Rockets67c17,000$11,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6109054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Pacers33c17,000$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,609.888640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7248…5394backed Rockets71c16,862$11,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,889.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c6…ac7dbacked Pacers30c16,653$4,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Pacers33c15,500$5,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,11510035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Rockets67c15,500$10,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,114.989758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets69c15,428$10,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,823.249,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe194…cd47backed Rockets61c15,194$9,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,955.531764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf09c…4d9abacked Pacers30c15,029$4,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,508.592347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Rockets70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Rockets70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Rockets70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9914244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Rockets71c14,421$10,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,229.7336950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Pacers30c14,323$4,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,29731644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked Rockets71c14,000$9,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0601457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880a…e678backed Rockets62c13,654$8,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,191.052955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf4…51f7backed Pacers30c13,339$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71fe…70b0backed Pacers30c13,334$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…77b1backed Pacers30c13,207$3,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,961.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+75.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Rockets70c12,350$8,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,746.4420849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockets75c12,329$9,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.922,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets75c12,172$9,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060.641,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Rockets70c12,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6005648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Rockets70c11,674$8,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,556.162652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Pacers40c11,327$4,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50150838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets68c11,058$7,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,574.782,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x449a…a3c8backed Rockets66c11,000$7,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7401145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80c2…561cbacked Pacers34c11,000$3,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7401154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Pacers30c10,712$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.521549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers28c10,549$2,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,923.893,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets68c10,283$6,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,290.444352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Rockets69c10,207$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,207.171546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Pacers33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers33c10,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.9746928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockets71c9,750$6,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.2781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Pacers31c9,194$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers30c8,975$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.313,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers31c8,874$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Pacers34c8,824$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Rockets70c8,177$5,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,490.896165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Rockets65c8,035$5,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.6714344.8%64 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Pacers37c8,026$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004725.5%12 W · 35 L-12.4wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Rockets69c8,001$5,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.015354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Pacers30c7,983$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,39517356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Rockets70c7,977$5,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.15143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers31c7,863$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306a…0d29backed Pacers30c7,600$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2808048.8%39 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Rockets80c7,463$5,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.5452460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Pacers30c7,300$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1907240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Rockets70c7,296$5,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.829858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Rockets66c7,234$4,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.875570.9%39 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Rockets67c7,201$4,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.3314055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Pacers32c7,200$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.9711244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers39c7,169$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.495,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Pacers30c6,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Pacers14c6,488$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.3935326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c38…08bdbacked Pacers29c6,445$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f58…6f3cbacked Pacers31c6,439$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c28…9e49backed Rockets62c6,342$3,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.41942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe668…fecabacked Rockets58c6,311$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.611250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Pacers29c6,186$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.9616039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Pacers29c6,067$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.1225146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Pacers41c6,039$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47312740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.