TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c15,143$7,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,052.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over52c11,356$5,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,450.7825753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over53c5,916$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.011,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under48c4,358$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under6c4,328$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6835326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over53c3,650$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.2645850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf659…73fabacked Under45c3,612$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x318b…7217backed Under45c3,611$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under48c3,564$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0e…dc2dbacked Under45c3,560$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa350…007abacked Under45c3,522$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25d…9a74backed Over55c3,522$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fcf…5287backed Over55c3,480$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed4c…fa38backed Over55c3,478$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf7…a14cbacked Over55c3,457$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…737dbacked Under45c3,455$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8b…c5c2backed Over55c3,434$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29e…7682backed Over55c3,366$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe1…3c5bbacked Over54c3,322$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66d6…fcf0backed Under46c3,250$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd349…2c1cbacked Over54c2,990$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891c…b733backed Under45c2,977$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d1…0081backed Under46c2,787$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf46…7a29backed Over54c2,653$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8835…cbd9backed Under46c2,555$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd8…1a11backed Over54c2,555$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1afe…63bdbacked Under46c2,512$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21b3…c916backed Over54c2,455$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99b2…2874backed Under46c2,455$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac8…3941backed Under46c2,436$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c2,246$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over54c2,154$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.74654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c2,084$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.574,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8a…90babacked Over54c2,020$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under48c1,934$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c1,888$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1828554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c1,729$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.332,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over54c1,366$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.1180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over54c1,187$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.0320147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under47c1,114$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.5819647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over53c1,040$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.828245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4804050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.47365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over54c940$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.410251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under46c897.5$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.621,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under7c870.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.661,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc43b…5ababacked Over55c870$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa0…639dbacked Under45c863$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b1…3cdcbacked Under45c852$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaa…7f5cbacked Over55c845$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36862347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c788.99$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.821,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0f…6e9dbacked Under45c766$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe068…80eabacked Over55c765$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…d3e2backed Over55c750$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…c1ddbacked Under45c749$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c623$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27622648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c584.18$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.924,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6209…7e17backed Over55c577$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf788…d199backed Under45c566$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x825f…903bbacked Under45c555$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9a…1b9fbacked Over55c544$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c503.75$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.033,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c493.87$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.184,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Over67c462.68$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.682630.8%8 W · 18 L-6.8wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-48.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under33c460$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over51c431.56$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4620741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c7…4138backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1882045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under47c394.68$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6525248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3614254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under13c351.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1384454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.021118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-65.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Over54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.785367.9%36 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over71c230$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.211650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over53c226.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.412,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Over56c224.11$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1118256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c212.34$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.83,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…a519backed Over53c201.85$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.872352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c199.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Over54c196.3$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.39269.6%64 W · 28 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Over53c186.77$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.788742.5%37 W · 50 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1914947%70 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Under46c183$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.189247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over54c142.59$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.591,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under46c140.02$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4143244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3836453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over53c112.08$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6833554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over50c112.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5340849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under45c109.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1462541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24e4…6622backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3416261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c86.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.171,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.29958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.