TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$330,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$333,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c218,007$105,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,132.387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c88,950$45,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,364.32,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under52c80,000$41,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,60040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00021250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under52c15,359$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over47c15,168$7,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,038.9444352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c12,259$6,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,333.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under51c11,111$5,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,666.6124554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c6,275$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,194.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fdf…0ef0backed Over49c6,020$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,070.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Over59c4,572$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.756753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9913954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under53c3,350$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77712649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50015147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Over49c2,950$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.4412144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Under51c2,549$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…cc5bbacked Under51c2,300$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c2,182$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under50c2,066$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.7736351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f4…b695backed Under51c2,020$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9935744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under53c1,929$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.4542648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2679…0001backed Under51c1,700$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9452369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under54c1,265$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.318345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c1,259$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c1,256$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.492,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under18c1,194$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under53c1,131$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.5671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.663,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53011450%57 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53019647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under52c919.23$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47821852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under52c879.03$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Over50c859$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.510957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under50c847.36$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.6823850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over39c806.79$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.023,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Under53c714.31$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.5841652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over47c691.49$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.494934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Under53c660.38$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505042%21 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over47c556.22$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.571,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over47c531$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.4320741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Under50c514$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25718543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under53c480.8$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.821,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over55c434.84$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.763,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under13c404.85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.641,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0662347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c318.6$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under7c303.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.223047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16218650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fdb…8417backed Under54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162234.3%1 W · 22 L-7.5wins-0.32per pick37cpaid-82.6%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over48c295.25$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5321950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c257.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over47c255.3$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.312,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ba…df83backed Under48c255.09$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under54c237.04$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Under53c235.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259269.6%64 W · 28 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.338234.1%28 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under53c199.82$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9124946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over46c195.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.662,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over47c195$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.351,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe711…3dd2backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over46c167.6$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.53,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf477…2e27backed Over47c157.45$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc0…e79ebacked Under50c142$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over47c136.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5543244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under52c133.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.51,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under54c132.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under53c132$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9641048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Under53c120.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over51c109.08$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7840849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Over48c108.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.049150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe932…0937backed Over49c102.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5342551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5342143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5341354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1a…c3b0backed Under16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162070%14 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under53c99.58$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7815849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c99.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under53c98.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5232347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266d…083fbacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505664.3%36 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Under53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.723445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c87.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.492,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.