TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $768 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa521…4599backed Yes46c157$72 inLost-$72.227557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes45c106$48 inLost-$47.76154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes45c75$34 inLost-$33.756454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed No54c58$32 inWon+$26.432965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked No55c39$21 inWon+$17.552944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked No54c39$21 inWon+$17.943647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked No55c36$20 inWon+$16.22864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed No54c34$18 inWon+$15.642860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed No54c28$15 inWon+$12.883964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96d2…dc9bbacked No55c25$14 inWon+$11.253450%17 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked No55c23$13 inWon+$10.353046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed No54c23$12 inWon+$10.583953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.