TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x880a…e678

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$252.8
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+34.6%+$3,112.68
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$683.74
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,606.64
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,158.06
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+343.5%+$2,076.84
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$785.29
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,463Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$5,191.05
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,791Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,790.88
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21,606.37
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,538.67
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,619Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$2,142.9
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+138.1%+$1,028.92
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$160.31
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$30.8
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,189.78
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$64.8
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$7,327.36
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.6%+$119.72
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+132.6%+$285
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,078Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+65.3%+$4,624
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,494Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.8%+$2,230.31
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$4,400
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,548.31
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+385.7%+$1,581.9
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,983Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+77%+$3,066.98
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2,285.8
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$116.13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$176.12
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$70.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$206.72
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$210.24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,390.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,615Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$5,204.6
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$31.92
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2,003.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+129%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$294.69
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$283.92
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$102.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+122.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+36.6%+$266.44
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$857Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$857.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$100.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$237.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$7,475.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.