Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f917d9fb268a67bef0af4105f8b964d44476e10f647450a002b8b5edf357c47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $655,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $674,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $655,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 66c | 172,140$113,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,332.1 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed No | 35c | 77,283$27,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,039.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 64c | 58,096$37,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,914.7 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 36c | 46,999$16,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,919.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 36c | 31,680$11,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,404.8 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 34c | 27,102$9,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,233.82 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 36c | 20,724$7,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,460.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 34c | 20,589$7,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,012.04 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 16,035$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,985.9 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 65c | 15,385$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 64c | 15,354$9,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,522.01 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 36c | 11,544$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.84 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed No | 37c | 10,082$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 34c | 9,629$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.98 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 36c | 9,560$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 34c | 9,275$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 35c | 9,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 33c | 9,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 8,216$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.38 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…3cbebacked No | 34c | 8,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes | 67c | 7,497$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 64c | 7,219$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.75 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 64c | 7,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 34c | 6,940$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.45 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 36c | 6,864$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 36c | 6,783$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.93 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 36c | 5,969$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 35c | 5,781$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 64c | 5,468$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.48 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 36c | 5,338$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 36c | 5,304$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.44 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 35c | 5,288$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.19 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 34c | 5,009$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.19 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…9e01backed No | 36c | 4,750$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 1c | 4,400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…c158backed No | 35c | 4,323$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 34c | 4,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 35c | 3,875$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…944ebacked Yes | 64c | 3,697$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…d452backed Yes | 64c | 3,273$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 21c | 3,213$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Yes | 64c | 3,200$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…5159backed No | 30c | 2,935$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 36c | 2,898$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…6972backed Yes | 64c | 2,873$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 66c | 2,513$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 70c | 2,415$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.59 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 35c | 2,283$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Yes | 65c | 2,200$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 35c | 2,147$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 64c | 1,885$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.6 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 34c | 1,689$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 35c | 1,643$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9616…9549backed Yes | 65c | 1,579$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…55d4backed Yes | 65c | 1,543$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…5833backed No | 36c | 1,458$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 66c | 1,453$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.02 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 34c | 1,289$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.34 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 72c | 1,281$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.68 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 35c | 1,274$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.08 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 66c | 1,262$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.12 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 36c | 1,208$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…06aabacked Yes | 65c | 1,201$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked No | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 34c | 1,197$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.1 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,120$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 36c | 1,090$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 65c | 1,025$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked No | 36c | 992.58$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 76c | 980.31$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.07 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…0ebcbacked No | 34c | 980$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 5c | 833.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 69c | 827.34$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.94 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Yes | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…9c68backed No | 35c | 799.92$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3929…c3f2backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc87…e026backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed No | 34c | 761.45$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 66c | 758.98$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.05 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed No | 28c | 750.55$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 34c | 701$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.34 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…6277backed Yes | 65c | 692.31$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed No | 6c | 683.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 64c | 673.48$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.64 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.