NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3f76d44e2c96f8edfb3f79df624e66bef793b22f08d49fc226562bca1a925aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Cavaliers, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,758,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,794,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,758,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,760 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Suns | 43c | 437,173$185,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251,360.97 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Suns | 46c | 310,681$142,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,767.82 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 300,000$162,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,999.99 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Cavaliers | 57c | 175,438$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.65 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Suns | 45c | 107,584$48,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,171.25 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Cavaliers | 57c | 94,299$53,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,572.28 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 65,880$35,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,865.74 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Suns | 43c | 65,000$28,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,849.94 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Cavaliers | 61c | 64,362$39,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,060.96 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 57,751$32,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,374.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 8c | 47,632$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 45c | 45,000$20,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,750 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 35,521$20,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,603.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Suns | 46c | 35,012$16,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,771.64 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 35,000$18,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,699.98 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Cavaliers | 55c | 28,859$15,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,872.45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Cavaliers | 57c | 28,070$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 34c | 27,947$9,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,565.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…2890backed Suns | 49c | 21,700$10,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,067 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…d637backed Cavaliers | 51c | 21,700$11,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,067 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 58c | 21,635$12,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,486.12 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Suns | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.6 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 19,826$7,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,945.41 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 59c | 18,783$11,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,051.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Suns | 43c | 18,772$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,771.72 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Cavaliers | 12c | 17,806$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.75 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Suns | 48c | 17,200$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Cavaliers | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 56c | 14,659$8,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,157.22 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Cavaliers | 1c | 14,023$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…e55abacked Cavaliers | 64c | 14,000$8,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,959.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…9417backed Cavaliers | 46c | 13,763$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270.1 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 13c | 13,755$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Cavaliers | 59c | 13,324$7,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,842.39 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 55c | 11,696$6,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,375.48 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f58…6f3cbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 11,523$6,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,819 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…b50dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 11,120$6,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,005 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Suns | 36c | 10,200$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,488.85 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Suns | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cavaliers | 55c | 9,984$5,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,491.47 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Suns | 36c | 9,960$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,374.34 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 9,722$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 9,498$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Suns | 74c | 9,338$6,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.9 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 58c | 9,066$5,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Suns | 46c | 9,000$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 15c | 8,740$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.19 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 29c | 8,576$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Cavaliers | 15c | 8,200$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.53 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Cavaliers | 56c | 8,149$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,563.71 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Cavaliers | 56c | 8,054$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Cavaliers | 55c | 8,049$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 53c | 7,853$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.95 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Cavaliers | 40c | 7,580$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Suns | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.86 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 7,124$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.45 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Suns | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Cavaliers | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Suns | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Suns | 41c | 6,712$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960.27 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Cavaliers | 54c | 6,690$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.12 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…ed3dbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 6,442$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 46c | 6,394$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Cavaliers | 53c | 6,205$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.22 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Cavaliers | 59c | 6,144$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cavaliers | 58c | 6,091$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.13 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 40c | 5,965$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Suns | 42c | 5,748$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.56 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Cavaliers | 59c | 5,676$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.84 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…08d2backed Cavaliers | 63c | 5,647$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers | 63c | 5,460$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.8 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Cavaliers | 0c | 5,425$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 23c | 5,380$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.13 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Cavaliers | 58c | 5,242$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Cavaliers | 59c | 5,205$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.08 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Suns | 46c | 5,123$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.68 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 5,040$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.98 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Suns | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Suns | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Suns | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…7012backed Suns | 38c | 4,832$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Suns | 35c | 4,817$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.03 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Suns | 46c | 4,811$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.32 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Suns | 43c | 4,469$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.88 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Cavaliers | 62c | 4,437$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.79 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Suns | 44c | 4,357$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.54 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…a9f2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 4,221$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.51 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 51c | 4,206$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.09 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Suns | 51c | 4,017$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.26 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Cavaliers | 55c | 4,001$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.44 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Cavaliers | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cavaliers | 26c | 3,759$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.16 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 3,737$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.19 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 3,712$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.46 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 40c | 3,705$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.7 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 11c | 3,649$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.11 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Suns | 46c | 3,648$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.98 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Sunsthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.