TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,360 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c54,006$27,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,001.342,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Over45c41,126$18,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,597.0421057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00039842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42c…971cbacked Under50c18,800$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa672…9eb1backed Over50c16,300$8,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,150580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under53c9,147$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,84824450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under52c7,430$3,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,848.712,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6531…df3dbacked Under51c5,020$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bde…5711backed Over46c4,907$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5c…36f0backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.672955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over46c3,300$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.842,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a0…fb7ebacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under53c2,302$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.0647856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…a027backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dfb…7764backed Under54c1,963$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under51c1,900$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9692,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,848$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.974,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Under53c1,688$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.3810642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31d5…aac0backed Under54c1,570$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dda…5a41backed Over49c1,520$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+91.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f4…1a4dbacked Over49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under53c1,498$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79443453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under52c1,426$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.081,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,406$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.943,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d33…63cdbacked Under54c1,374$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c1,340$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under55c1,149$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over43c1,067$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.081,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c890.2$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c647.8$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.362,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Over48c597.92$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.9221355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under53c547.1$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.722,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under57c509$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1319135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Under52c385.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under50c377.72$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8653043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c364$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.51,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Over51c351.05$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0110953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b71…9fcdbacked Under76c337.67$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.633141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over44c272$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1953839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Under51c268.38$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3413945.3%63 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c260.56$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.113,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under53c237.59$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9285147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under52c217.02$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.791,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under53c212.72$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7463447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Under49c210.2$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10330452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c202.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.783,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under45c174$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0524846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c164.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.873,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over51c152.08$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.453,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over47c127.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.652,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4947738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over44c90.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.171,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.462,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under51c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3853149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over56c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.644755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Under50c71.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5315040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under52c70.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7943244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.849351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over50c68.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0218043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under51c67.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5615849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Under50c67.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6616443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Over51c65.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0211241.1%46 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8362844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over51c61.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.891,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.445146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Under51c52.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6514352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c51.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.134,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Under35c50.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under44c50.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b0…2a3fbacked Over51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.056634.8%23 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under51c44.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fff…479fbacked Under45c44.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.517545.3%34 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under50c40.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2621645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Over44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over48c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2841048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7126…ccdbbacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over49c36.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8445460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012052.5%63 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Under45c34.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.656240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Over58c34.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.247047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under52c33.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.233552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under56c31.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.540960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.493,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2554549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under52c29.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2138347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under53c28.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5de1…35f3backed Over50c27.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.912454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under57c27.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.757657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02dc…89f3backed Under73c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ea…15b7backed Under51c22.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.562040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94774.5%35 W · 12 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+43.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.