NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2e95efe8f9931bf94095a3789cb0da0cb695c626f60312927fe32829066f669

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $236,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $234,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,687 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x20d6…3856backed Under	48c	106,530$51,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,446.56	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over	50c	60,000$30,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,000	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Over	52c	59,327$30,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,651.21	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	47c	46,064$21,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,543.42	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over	55c	39,098$21,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,682.27	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over	50c	12,120$6,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,060.24	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under	46c	7,391$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	49c	5,130$2,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,610.16	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	49c	4,702$2,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,302.15	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under	46c	4,348$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under	50c	2,890$1,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,445	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under	50c	2,400$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	46c	2,391$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098.67	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under	50c	2,289$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.5	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under	48c	2,137$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.04	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	120	51.7%62 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	1,913$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.06	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	52c	1,563$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	53c	1,249$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.59	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	49c	1,135$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578.87	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under	47c	1,019$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.26	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under	48c	936.7$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.46	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under	51c	908$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.08	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	52c	678.44$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.58	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under	48c	534.16$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.4	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under	15c	523.6$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.31	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under	69c	435.51$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	128	65.6%84 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over	51c	395.1$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.1	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	58c	344.04$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.04	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	44c	278.82$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.44	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under	48c	273$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.93	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	46c	232.27$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.01	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under	43c	230$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.9	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	52c	229.72$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.47	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over	53c	212.55$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.9	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Under	48c	209.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	49c	201$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.49	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under	50c	193.55$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.06	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	137	49.6%68 W · 69 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under	47c	173.99$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.25	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over	58c	171.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.24	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	48c	165.97$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.87	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under	44c	143.26$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.34	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over	51c	131$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.86	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under	48c	125$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	50c	123.82$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.91	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	54c	112.14$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.58	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under	40c	93.89$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.41	191	35.6%68 W · 123 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	43c	90.18$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.96	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	49c	85$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.7	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over	54c	70$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.2	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	59c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Under	67c	59.7$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	272	47.8%130 W · 142 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Under	48c	40.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.69	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec46…0970backed Under	47c	40.05$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over	51c	39.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.21	260	43.8%114 W · 146 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over	51c	38.16$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.7	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Under	47c	38.15$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.93	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd75…715cbacked Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5297…0f68backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over	48c	35.42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.42	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd6…6532backed Under	48c	34.54$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Over	51c	31.57$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.47	139	45.3%63 W · 76 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	226	55.3%125 W · 101 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over	50c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.71	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under	46c	28.56$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Under	47c	27.95$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Over	54c	27.26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.54	163	43.6%71 W · 92 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Over	47c	25.69$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.51	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	46c	25.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Under	48c	24.66$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe178…e480backed Under	44c	22.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8d…55c5backed Under	47c	22.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Over	51c	21.8$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.68	121	43.8%53 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x362c…7e3ebacked Under	49c	20.59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2c…374fbacked Over	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over	56c	19.66$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.58	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
Cavaliers vs. SunsSuns won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Suns won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Suns won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event