NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aee437d08f00f8919c580f7b47ee1371fb79d9c6ab98ac4537123dcc6d1c7ee

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sunsof Cavaliers, Suns
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $55,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,186 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Suns	52c	20,492$10,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,841.12	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers	49c	8,909$4,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,342.41	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Cavaliers	50c	4,568$2,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,306.02	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers	48c	3,656$1,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,753.08	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns	51c	3,291$1,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,619.42	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Cavaliers	48c	3,049$1,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,463.52	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Cavaliers	48c	2,708$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Suns	56c	2,689$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,189.5	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Suns	46c	2,642$1,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,426.5	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Cavaliers	45c	2,500$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns	55c	2,491$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,128.21	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Cavaliers	48c	2,442$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.96	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked Cavaliers	44c	2,273$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.04	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.18per pick	37cpaid	+66.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Suns	49c	2,075$1,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,058.23	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Cavaliers	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	125	47.2%59 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns	51c	1,441$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.5	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Suns	56c	1,375$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.4	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Cavaliers	1c	1,302$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Cavaliers	49c	1,227$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers	48c	1,147$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns	52c	1,025$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.94	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Cavaliers	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	641	39%250 W · 391 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Suns	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	43c	996.12$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.8	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers	48c	686$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.28	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Suns	53c	614.04$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.75	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Suns	56c	612$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.28	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Cavaliers	47c	499.92$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.96	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Suns	50c	479.27$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.64	191	35.6%68 W · 123 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers	48c	466.37$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns	53c	436.88$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.33	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Suns	52c	399.99$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.99	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers	48c	390$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.2	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Suns	49c	370.59$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Cavaliers	46c	309.99$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.6	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Cavaliers	45c	277.78$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Suns	53c	208.87$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.17	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Suns	54c	197.98$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.07	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Suns	52c	195.2$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.31	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Suns	52c	193.73$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.99	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab8…b5a6backed Suns	52c	190.37$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.38	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0486…fbc2backed Suns	52c	185.85$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.21	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+8.6wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Cavaliers	47c	181.04$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.6	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Cavaliers	48c	145.83$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Cavaliers	48c	134.2$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.94	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers	46c	129.02$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.35	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Suns	54c	121.69$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.98	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e65…701cbacked Cavaliers	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x230f…6869backed Cavaliers	51c	107.84$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Suns	56c	102.46$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.08	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x082f…b13bbacked Cavaliers	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…69d4backed Cavaliers	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-60%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f18…ce56backed Suns	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	120	44.2%53 W · 67 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Cavaliers	51c	91$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.41	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Suns	53c	88.21$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.75	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns	53c	82.71$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.95	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Suns	53c	81.65$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.38	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked Suns	53c	72.64$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.14	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Cavaliers	48c	71.96$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.41	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers	50c	71.86$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.83	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Suns	53c	70$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.9	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Cavaliers	46c	68$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.94	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Cavaliers	44c	67.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Suns	57c	61.4$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Cavaliers	48c	60.4$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.99	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2488…788dbacked Cavaliers	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Cavaliers	47c	55$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	421	46.1%194 W · 227 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Suns	53c	53.91$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.34	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed Suns	53c	53.9$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.39	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Suns	52c	51.99$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.96	213	57.7%123 W · 90 L	+10.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Suns	53c	50.98$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.96	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Suns	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.96	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Cavaliers	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ea…9406backed Cavaliers	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e2…3d27backed Cavaliers	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Suns	53c	49$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.03	140	50.7%71 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Cavaliers	50c	45.67$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.84	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Cavaliers	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Suns	45c	41.14$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.62	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f4c…25bbbacked Cavaliers	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cf…60fdbacked Cavaliers	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.4wins	-0.38per pick	49cpaid	-79%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Cavaliers	51c	39.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.37	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa996…d9cfbacked Cavaliers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43e…a441backed Cavaliers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c61…4742backed Cavaliers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ff…c93fbacked Cavaliers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ae…bf68backed Cavaliers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78f8…7581backed Cavaliers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+4.0wins	+0.31per pick	54cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a35…2c0bbacked Cavaliers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x911a…dbd3backed Cavaliers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6593…5a54backed Cavaliers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0463…6976backed Cavaliers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Cavaliers	51c	38.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers	50c	37.35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.67	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Suns	55c	36.49$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.49	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Suns	53c	35.31$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.61	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc677…677abacked Suns	53c	35.16$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.57	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…b665backed Suns	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	141	56.7%80 W · 61 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Cavaliers	51c	33.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Cavaliers	46c	32.6$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-16.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
Cavaliers vs. SunsSuns won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Suns won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event