NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x390661c5d04ee7ae2470e50f158ba17c0dcf298c5f34d27339c06f9095e100f4

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $89,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $89,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,222 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over	50c	40,917$20,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,417.18	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	22,856$11,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,308.58	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over	52c	15,000$7,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,199.99	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4989…8610backed Under	48c	11,042$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Under	49c	4,532$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under	49c	3,592$1,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	52c	3,443$1,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,790.36	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	48c	2,768$1,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440.31	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under	48c	2,710$1,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300.8	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	48c	2,681$1,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.01	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under	49c	2,653$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Under	48c	1,930$926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.4	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	50c	1,210$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.87	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	49c	1,143$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.07	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	52c	1,096$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.05	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	910.53$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.95	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	53c	753.08$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.88	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	52c	639.48$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.2	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under	49c	444.22$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.67	191	35.6%68 W · 123 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	50c	396.01$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.75	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	51c	349.79$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.66	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under	48c	299.99$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	52c	195.14$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.72	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under	49c	180.47$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.43	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	47c	148.14$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.92	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	48c	131.68$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.71	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under	53c	131$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.43	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under	48c	124.67$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.34	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over	52c	116.88$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.1	163	47.2%77 W · 86 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under	52c	115.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	260	43.8%114 W · 146 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	52c	115.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.38	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over	47c	106$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.18	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under	49c	103.41$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.69	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under	53c	101$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.53	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over	53c	87.47$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.11	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under	48c	87.47$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	50c	74.06$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.15	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Under	15c	70$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over	53c	70$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.9	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Under	49c	67.67$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	139	45.3%63 W · 76 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under	49c	66.43$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.55	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.78	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Under	49c	58.24$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.54	121	43.8%53 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Under	49c	53.04$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under	49c	36.35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.88	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over	52c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5297…0f68backed Under	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over	55c	29.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Over	53c	28.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	163	43.6%71 W · 92 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over	54c	26.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.35	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Over	56c	25.43$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.19	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe178…e480backed Under	46c	21.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6edf…97a1backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
Cavaliers vs. SunsSuns won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Suns won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Suns won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event