TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Cavaliers, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfce1…9ce7backed Suns53c5,240$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46535450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Cavaliers40c3,285$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32024942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Cavaliers47c2,843$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.1637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Suns60c2,148$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.285147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Suns55c1,910$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.690957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers43c1,525$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers45c1,505$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns53c1,467$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.482,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Suns59c1,216$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.066055%33 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers47c1,012$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Cavaliers46c917.41$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.0158347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Suns59c905.88$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4132051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Suns58c758.62$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.627862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Cavaliers48c725$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34854747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers41c693.23$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.543,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Cavaliers45c661.65$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3619647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers46c517.83$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.363,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers37c447.05$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.973,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers46c431.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Cavaliers47c424$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2817644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Cavaliers47c422$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers47c418$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.462,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Suns60c409$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.61,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Suns60c403.03$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.033265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Suns61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Cavaliers41c292.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Suns49c269.14$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2645850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Suns61c261.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5519135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Cavaliers47c234$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9821937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Cavaliers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Cavaliers47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Suns58c206.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6225056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers46c202$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.921,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Suns60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers32c174.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.93,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Cavaliers36c161.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8339736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Suns53c160.78$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers38c157.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.72,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Suns62c157.11$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.77546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Suns54c154.24$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9521645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Suns60c153.33$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3366153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Cavaliers47c149.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers44c137.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.692,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Cavaliers49c135.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1743244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Cavaliers47c106$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8253839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Cavaliers47c105.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.141,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Suns65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef71…dedebacked Suns60c95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Cavaliers53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Suns72c93.43$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.161,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Cavaliers40c89.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7250841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Cavaliers44c87.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0139041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Suns60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3316030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers39c74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers46c73.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.936,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe63b…b7c9backed Suns54c66.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.642360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Suns61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.461253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Cavaliers48c59.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Suns52c56.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9622055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Suns61c56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8433360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c8…2f5abacked Cavaliers44c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.644165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7a9…b7b7backed Suns54c55.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.312556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Suns54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2338252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Cavaliers51c49.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2617750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Suns45c44.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers48c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.283,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Suns54c42.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6726043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Cavaliers51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ed…9af8backed Cavaliers51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Suns55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.367452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Suns59c35.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6957657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Suns50c34.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.233552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Cavaliers47c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6935049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Cavaliers51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Cavaliers52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Suns49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2423651.7%122 W · 114 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.642,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f61…ab6bbacked Suns50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6edf…97a1backed Suns50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Suns68c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.124755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.