NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e514d9a3f01d3a5ad6074f362fc0db30acc2aff140846d6e695428079bd194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 57c | 43,711$25,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,078.96 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 43,360$18,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,389.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 55c | 6,330$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.5 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 6,278$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.79 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 4,442$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.74 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 45c | 3,339$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.41 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 3,303$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 3,220$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 2,998$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.83 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 2,377$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 2,360$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 2,357$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 1,610$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.54 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 41c | 1,453$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.22 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 55c | 875$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.25 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 41c | 762.89$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.17 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 595.96$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.9 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 43c | 467.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 428.47$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 40c | 238.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.36 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 48c | 225.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 44c | 158.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 44c | 153.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Under | 54c | 148.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 146$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1ec5backed Under | 59c | 138.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 134.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 45c | 101$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 29c | 62.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…479fbacked Under | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 44c | 44.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 44c | 41.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 48c | 39.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 45c | 32.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…2d71backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…b4fabacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
- Cavaliers vs. SunsSuns won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Over won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.