NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d700aa697e79044ee16c7e5ca910e289d4a6151b7f8b1b35e934c0594915655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 54c | 25,708$14,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,698.57 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 19,333$8,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,801.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 44c | 2,618$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 43c | 2,081$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.8 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 1,459$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.12 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 52c | 618.26$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.76 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Over | 55c | 543.36$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.51 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 532.38$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.25 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 56c | 386$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.84 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 379$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 47c | 362.66$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 45c | 343.36$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 268.73$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 231.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Over | 53c | 143.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 106.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Under | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Under | 44c | 81.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Over | 53c | 37.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 53c | 36.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Over | 53c | 36.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 57c | 25.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
- Cavaliers vs. SunsSuns won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.