NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fe983c569f20ff267a4be6c94aea3a46ca6a58e2554c3f4afbbed02e866b152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 48c | 34,033$16,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,768.1 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 50c | 27,549$13,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,774.61 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 26,512$13,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,256 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 4,130$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.76 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 45c | 3,589$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,552$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Under | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Under | 51c | 2,332$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.32 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 1,600$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.76 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 1,600$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 50c | 1,375$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.08 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 50c | 1,222$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.19 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 51c | 904.33$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.21 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 798.04$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…4e27backed Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 711.81$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.32 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 600$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.75 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…61a8backed Under | 51c | 584.88$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 44c | 583$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.75 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 494.42$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 450$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 383.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.14 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 375$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 49c | 308.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 248.95$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…509bbacked Over | 48c | 208.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 50c | 200.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 50c | 199$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 50c | 145.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 119.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 105.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…8653backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Over | 49c | 82.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 44c | 70.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…3faabacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 47c | 50.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a9…b7b7backed Over | 50c | 43.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 40.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 51c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Over | 50c | 28.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Over | 51c | 28.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 53c | 28.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 50c | 28.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
- Cavaliers vs. SunsSuns won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.