TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7a9…b7b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$6.27
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$25.52
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.36
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.12
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$32.17
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.31
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.87
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.89
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+62.7%+$15.35
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+103.1%+$29.94
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.27
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.31
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+194.1%+$23.93
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$21.58
Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.5%+$26.86
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.57
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+71.7%+$111.3
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$47.25
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$87.48
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+48.7%+$32.1
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$96.65
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$17.61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$39.68
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$55.81
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.69
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.48
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.1
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+73.1%+$9.53
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.46
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$57.89
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.62
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.8%+$14.4
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$16.66
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44.55
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34.58
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$108.53
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+46.2%+$23.11
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+62%+$9.84
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.9%+$12.43
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+122.6%+$13.14
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.53
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$33.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Morgan State Bears vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+241.7%+$98.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$27.97
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+177%+$44.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+77.6%+$46.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,915Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$1,075.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.4%+$73.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.