TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$231,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked Over41c37,961$15,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,462.072642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under56c36,458$20,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,051.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over46c30,464$13,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,888.43834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c24,374$14,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,036.751,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Over43c22,113$9,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,488.192737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c20,919$11,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,828.1724349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c20,416$11,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,941.951,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under56c12,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2802853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under58c11,625$6,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.342240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over41c9,578$3,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.457227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed Over44c7,971$3,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,507.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over44c7,891$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,472.156347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under57c6,558$3,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.9612556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6404548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c5,972$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,907.639458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.981910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Over44c4,574$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-79.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Under56c4,564$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.051729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under60c3,824$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.2312963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c3,637$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.1262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5405151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3207549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3205151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over59c3,000$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.993964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under58c2,865$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.324052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c2,267$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.4730448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over47c2,190$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over60c1,913$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Over57c1,800$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over47c1,751$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.971952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under56c1,739$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.97785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick54cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c1,513$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.346952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under58c1,457$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.419450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under55c1,331$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.5948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c1,312$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.7752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under52c1,300$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6243053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under62c1,173$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.685356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under52c1,152$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.4333145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3964951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbaf…9bf6backed Over48c855.77$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c809.77$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5526354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over61c800.49$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.314340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Over43c779.68$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6460%0 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over43c765.09$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under52c715.29$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.345238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over32c668.6$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over48c655.88$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.823138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over44c633$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under38c598.15$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.4212448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over49c591.56$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+73.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over46c576.7$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.281118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-67%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under57c565.04$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.971471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c553.9$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8245233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c495.38$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7659348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over49c450$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over68c432.71$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over43c428.91$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.433141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over66c414.8$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over64c399.99$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.999145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Over28c389.55$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Over42c375.14$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under54c358.45$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9510364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under53c339.74$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.962050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under54c322.16$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.535157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over61c318.88$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.352138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under52c312$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.765129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Over64c290.46$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over21c289.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.216224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under51c282$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1812050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c272$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6146450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under57c267.1$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.852458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under56c267$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.481650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over45c249.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.483745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4214…1749backed Under25c237.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Under59c228.69$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.911450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over32c228.13$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.173231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over64c218.95$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under54c217.24$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.614544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Over64c216.61$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.63837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c215$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.740%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over59c204.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.337953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41fd…4ed8backed Over48c202.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8419…4d80backed Over68c201.93$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.