Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71bddd031836c41c228d873fe4e71dc35ccbe2a20585f0009c42115b9ac81e12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9196…3176backed Under | 78c | 2,832$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 2,485$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.41 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 2,197$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.74 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 25c | 2,090$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…3875backed Over | 1c | 2,040$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 50c | 1,989$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Over | 37c | 1,474$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 51c | 1,095$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 22c | 977.19$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.94 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 31c | 836.64$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.66 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 59c | 795.62$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.33 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 26c | 735.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 40c | 729$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 74c | 720.99$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.96 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under | 61c | 640.39$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 28c | 601.48$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Over | 59c | 565.1$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 558.09$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.3 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 45c | 539.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 75c | 447.68$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 50c | 438.44$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…7c07backed Over | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 64c | 395.22$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 324.36$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Over | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 28c | 304.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Over | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 8c | 258.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 24cpaid | +330.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 75c | 246.55$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 74c | 244.77$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 230.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 41c | 220.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 74c | 196.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 65c | 195.74$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 37c | 176.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…1532backed Over | 58c | 156.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 26c | 151.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 25c | 141.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 138.32$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Under | 67c | 136.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 65c | 132.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 25c | 123.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 121.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Under | 42c | 120.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 38c | 116.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over | 38c | 109.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 75c | 104.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Over | 14c | 94.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 76c | 90.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 21c | 86.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over | 52c | 85.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…1749backed Over | 36c | 83.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 26c | 81.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 18c | 79.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 75.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a50…da30backed Over | 35c | 68.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…4169backed Under | 46c | 62.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 42c | 58.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 35c | 57.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 69c | 55.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db8…9ac8backed Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988c…90c1backed Under | 48c | 53.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 50.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Under | 65c | 48.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 22c | 48.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…3458backed Over | 25c | 45.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 43.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…b088backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Over | 52c | 39.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 37.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…f727backed Over | 45c | 35.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 74c | 34.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Under | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…5587backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 55c | 29.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed Under | 70c | 29.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 73c | 29.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 53c | 28.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked Under | 51c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 59c | 20.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 74c | 20.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 76c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.