TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c7,791$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.171,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under37c7,210$2,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.421947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over73c6,740$4,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.969657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under22c5,212$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.87741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over41c3,637$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.582240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over68c3,248$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under10c2,896$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.332334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over68c2,500$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7903964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under32c2,305$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.7624349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under31c2,042$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.2887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Over44c1,999$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under26c1,747$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.3229637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under60c1,448$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.8312556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under33c1,437$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under35c1,353$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.391637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under34c1,352$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under61c1,229$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.675356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over70c1,122$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over59c1,024$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.489145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under2c878.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.571233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+257.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Over67c746.12$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d8…dd09backed Over74c647.02$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c640.24$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.633145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over71c628.89$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over74c599.73$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.931050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c574.75$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.951,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over65c560.83$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Over61c542$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.14100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+77.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Over59c454.13$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.38714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-75.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under32c440.24$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4826354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over35c435.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under33c393.88$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c380.09$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over67c373$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0927748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under60c351.89$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7910364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under30c338.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.223951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over73c325.04$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over65c312.4$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2915071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b39…65adbacked Over60c299.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over67c294.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.04366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over47c271.8$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.916224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Over74c270.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over76c260.44$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7435157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over76c259.69$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over66c249.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.993745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Over64c239.53$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8561…337bbacked Over20c239.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+213.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under31c239$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9946450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under32c235.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.523342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over63c234.3$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.531855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2600…f0dcbacked Over67c223.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.65580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over68c220$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.42650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050e…7543backed Over56c199.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over35c182.58$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under32c174.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.012050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over72c169.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.096529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over70c159.56$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4614352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under72c152.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.126936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under30c149.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.495236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over76c149.32$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.995440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c146.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8545233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.281060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe937…df72backed Over67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over68c144.52$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over71c107.49$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.172850%14 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under59c104.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.359058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92dd…96d3backed Over59c100.08$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.82661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over75c99.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Over49c99.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.71464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Over70c98.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.461338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d0…468abacked Over56c87.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over67c87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.713046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over70c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under32c74.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.988056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Under21c73.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-78.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Over67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.141040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x088a…9ee7backed Under70c71.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x745d…e109backed Over69c71.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under78c63.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over47c61.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.886518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec5…9bc4backed Under34c56.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695f…1b67backed Over70c51.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.57560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under32c51.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3914057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x399d…415cbacked Over70c50.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over57c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bed…e076backed Over41c49.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over41c47.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7611044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over46c44.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over67c43.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over69c43.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.395354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f6…a1debacked Over54c41.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over66c41.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3326041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1cf…f5aebacked Over80c38.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Under38c38.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.444443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under56c34.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3312367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under60c32.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.522556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7569…ac76backed Under35c31.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over80c30.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.012347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.