NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ebef2a23118957a69b5f7b5dcda9df50b307c860c1c8f890b9b74a9925d9e6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,017,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,019,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,017,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings | 54c | 182,079$98,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,322.4 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 49c | 114,263$56,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,860.11 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…8057backed Red Wings | 55c | 82,387$45,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,312.72 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Capitals | 46c | 73,847$33,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,154.17 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Capitals | 70c | 66,771$47,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,722.58 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Capitals | 46c | 55,159$25,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,031.27 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Capitals | 46c | 55,000$25,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,699.99 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…ec9dbacked Red Wings | 56c | 54,259$30,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Capitals | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Red Wings | 53c | 49,888$26,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,367.78 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Red Wings | 0c | 37,024$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 45c | 31,692$14,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,430.43 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Capitals | 46c | 21,166$9,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,368.16 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings | 53c | 20,552$10,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,888.39 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…0084backed Red Wings | 0c | 19,608$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 47c | 16,780$7,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,894.05 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Capitals | 45c | 13,000$5,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,109.97 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Red Wings | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 49c | 11,319$5,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,525.08 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 63c | 11,217$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.2 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 54c | 10,848$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,831.92 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Red Wings | 50c | 10,841$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.7 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Capitals | 46c | 10,010$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,405.3 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Capitals | 47c | 10,000$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Capitals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Red Wings | 50c | 8,898$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.21 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Capitals | 46c | 8,669$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,681.26 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Capitals | 46c | 8,169$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,411.26 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings | 17c | 7,047$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.25 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 46c | 6,957$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.52 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.96 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Red Wings | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Red Wings | 51c | 5,987$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.53 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 53c | 5,481$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.09 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Capitals | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Red Wings | 42c | 4,738$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.64 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings | 55c | 4,689$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.29 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Red Wings | 42c | 4,303$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.7 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Capitals | 46c | 4,166$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.43 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 46c | 3,849$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.59 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Red Wings | 54c | 3,662$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.48 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Red Wings | 53c | 3,484$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.6 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Red Wings | 40c | 3,142$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.93 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Capitals | 49c | 3,064$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.83 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Red Wings | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Capitals | 47c | 2,819$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.07 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 62c | 2,805$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.2 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Capitals | 45c | 2,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.67 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,458$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.92 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Red Wings | 54c | 2,251$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.32 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Capitals | 45c | 2,244$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.58 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,150$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Capitals | 50c | 2,050$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.5 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Red Wings | 1c | 1,999$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 35c | 1,953$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.4 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 54c | 1,886$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.56 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Red Wings | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,847$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.11 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 31c | 1,825$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,750$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.5 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 56c | 1,702$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 46c | 1,644$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.93 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 45c | 1,491$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.28 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,485$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.43 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Red Wings | 33c | 1,422$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.56 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Capitals | 46c | 1,400$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,345$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.32 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,332$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.95 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Capitals | 45c | 1,292$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.81 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 56c | 1,190$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.82 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,154$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.57 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,142$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.64 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Capitals | 47c | 1,104$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.03 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Red Wings | 30c | 1,100$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.73 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Capitals | 46c | 1,100$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.51 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Red Wings | 38c | 1,042$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,017$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.61 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Red Wings | 60c | 1,002$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Capitals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Capitals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Capitals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings | 53c | 997.81$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.84 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Red Wings | 50c | 974.65$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.33 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Red Wings | 54c | 939.98$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.59 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Wings | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Red Wings | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Red Wings | 54c | 876$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.04 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 50c | 866.53$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.9 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 46c | 815.84$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.4 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Capitals | 71c | 808.72$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.57 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Capitals | 45c | 786$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.3 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Red Wings | 37c | 779.35$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.02 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Capitals | 47c | 759$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.32 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.