NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa901f603477d287e3dffb91171154ed2814584fe10197bcb238cb8d2fc114098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 72,950$37,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,194.45 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Over | 49c | 49,500$24,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,245 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 48c | 27,783$13,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,369.21 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 49c | 26,796$13,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,666.03 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 50c | 7,172$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615.88 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 7,138$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.06 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 7,103$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.71 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 5,005$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.42 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 4,022$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.32 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Under | 53c | 2,520$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.95 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 53c | 2,499$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.67 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 50c | 2,480$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 53c | 2,278$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.38 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 49c | 1,650$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…0df5backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…63e0backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…8006backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…55ffbacked Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…ce97backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ff…1d71backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…6a1abacked Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…fb79backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…8c4dbacked Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…f33cbacked Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…426bbacked Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…ff8fbacked Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…2224backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…5f12backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…7b01backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56c…0fe9backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…2abcbacked Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0634…dc1abacked Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…229fbacked Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…79d1backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…ceffbacked Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6062…5935backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…07e7backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…9e8dbacked Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…a720backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…9b51backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…702ebacked Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4492…947abacked Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…7f26backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…f40abacked Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…7a02backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe104…10b5backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…c6ddbacked Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…b497backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…00e5backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…c4a6backed Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…e609backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…756cbacked Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…ffffbacked Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff10…a77bbacked Over | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…d9f4backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…1b03backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…23b4backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe407…41edbacked Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd0…3b36backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…edb5backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…bab2backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059b…347cbacked Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…0ecabacked Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 47c | 1,422$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.74 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…856bbacked Under | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 1,300$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 900$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.12 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Under | 51c | 794.06$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 51c | 787.22$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.48 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 712.84$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.42 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 685.29$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.77 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.12 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 50c | 547$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.28 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 525.02$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.51 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 51c | 507.28$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.71 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 49c | 466$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.11 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 452.16$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 367.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.68 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 48c | 277.8$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Over | 50c | 204.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Over | 50c | 198.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 51c | 191.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 174.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Over | 29c | 161.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 53c | 160.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 50c | 135.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…68d1backed Under | 51c | 121.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 49c | 120.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Under | 51c | 108.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 95.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 42c | 87.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5this page
- Capitals vs. Red WingsCapitals won
- Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.