TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x22f6…6a9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: College Football, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT8055%44 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$61.5
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$72.11
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.8%+$38.76
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.7%+$56.72
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$57.65
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+62%+$37.23
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$85.97
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+32.7%+$65.47
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.9%+$38.32
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Penguins vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+77%+$61.6
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$47.14
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+57.4%+$22.95
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$57.56
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2969%20 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46%+$91.99
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.28
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$70.43
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.63
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$24.4
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$167.5
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+89%+$35.6
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+192.6%+$82.42
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.16
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Rams (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+82.2%+$82.19
Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-2.5)backed UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Idaho State Bengals vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Idaho State Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LSU Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Youngstown State Penguinsbacked Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$20
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Washington State Cougars vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+34.2%+$28.55
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bisonbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Ohio Bobcats vs. Ball State Cardinalsbacked Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirdsbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Weber State Wildcatsbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+83%+$33.2
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Little Rock Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Portland State Vikings vs. Weber State Wildcatsbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+43.8%+$24.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+158.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.7
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244%+$41.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$55.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+86.8%+$34.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.