TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa98…b8f7backed No30c6,852$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c6,759$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.681,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes49c6,719$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.4171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked No53c5,855$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.914645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8212…6677backed Yes42c2,682$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes51c1,889$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.6524642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c1,803$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.5887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes20c1,789$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.123240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c1,360$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.1952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes59c972.38$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes72c696.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.411,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No69c687.53$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.8133938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No39c605$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.154348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes21c595.04$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.196926.1%18 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No77c420.54$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.812835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed No59c355.31$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.42450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes57c301$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.71163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No78c293.73$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.113748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes22c256.62$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3414337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes41c246.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.434238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.14332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No80c223$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes69c219.25$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3426040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No29c200.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.415322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked No54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No34c170.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.779535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No36c167.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.415040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed No60c167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.29355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No57c167$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No36c163.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.775330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed No41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No34c138.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.246942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked No61c130$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed No58c120.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c0…8e1bbacked No50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Yes42c115$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes53c110.52$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9426660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes47c107.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1421…51d1backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403070%21 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yes44c98.82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.348100%8 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+137.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x83ed…03ebbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.247735.1%27 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes64c94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8426346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes41c92.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.724546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No79c89.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f77…724bbacked Yes41c85.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.37633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed No61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes76c75.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9815071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No80c75.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3826550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed No61c74.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.222245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes22c70.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3810942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked No51c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaea…d50ebacked No53c64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x669b…f1a8backed Yes21c63.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed No40c62.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.882857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fbe…d733backed Yes69c55.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes42c54.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.769447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…e25fbacked Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+169.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4020454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3e…380cbacked No61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes43c49.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.955343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No54c47.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4135650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb4…9854backed Yes45c44.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.57887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.42per pick46cpaid+170.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed No58c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9b…8b7dbacked No33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes40c39.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.064330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…cf2fbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Yes65c35.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.474100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed No57c35.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No80c35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.816242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes62c29.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.163228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No42c25.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.862334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed No46c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No79c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7510960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes57c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.031464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed No76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f8…5bf4backed Yes68c19.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked No62c19.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbee…17c4backed Yes66c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+191.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df0…de29backed No80c16.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.36366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a1…39e4backed No80c16.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4e…faefbacked No80c16.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No77c14.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.235778.9%45 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…095fbacked No80c13.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.