TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38fa…55eabacked Yes32c22,712$7,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,196.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes30c19,289$5,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,854.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c12,673$9,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.6871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c10,187$7,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,092.291,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c7,427$5,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.9362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes25c4,100$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3205538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No79c3,777$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.179863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes25c3,621$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.2515455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No67c3,050$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.544052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7506060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No69c2,361$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.4648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c1,958$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.161,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed No76c1,883$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.89366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No74c1,100$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes36c779.67$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7526660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes25c715.43$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8626046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes38c645.11$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1417251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c613.18$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked No75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c583.09$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.593630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes34c470.59$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Yes33c437$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No75c420$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No75c420$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10513655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No75c420$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1057163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4735…d4ebbacked Yes33c403.03$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Yes32c360.83$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No63c349.43$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.292729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No75c330$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.511256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.951580%12 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No75c320$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8010952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7510838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7514045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7510948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9311725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No75c298.39$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.611556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes24c291$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No75c180$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.510653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.58755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.54759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No63c169.05$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5533938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.57655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.54557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No74c147.87$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb939…ed05backed No76c140.79$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes25c136$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3414247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No74c134.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.093672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes16c133.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.835322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes35c130$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.56518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No75c113.3$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.323562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-76.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes25c94.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.598942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes25c93.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.49846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c87.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes18c85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.057735.1%27 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No76c79.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0726550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No63c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7516242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.510652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes28c67.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.998333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes26c67.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.510942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes25c66.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.722857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3848…776abacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510055%55 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.