TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Egypt vs. Benin: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under62c98,226$60,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,376.232065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over38c25,858$9,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,826.1516331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c24,510$8,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,734.723,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over40c11,813$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7253925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over40c8,940$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.191020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over37c6,075$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.2976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under60c5,001$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.813953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Over37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8503534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0008359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9005349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c4,826$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.554,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under59c3,763$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.8125038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed Under60c2,219$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.976750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea89…0ad7backed Over20c1,837$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.08837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over36c1,832$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.678960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c8f…c146backed Over42c1,771$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008940.4%36 W · 53 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over17c1,156$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5410734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Over39c1,030$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3981850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3807045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5a…6261backed Over41c999.98$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over42c992.68$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4142839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Over45c964.82$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.551650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over40c774.55$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.822138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under60c764.99$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.555466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Over41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over42c667.59$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf3…27b0backed Over16c646.8$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under60c636.17$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.479324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under71c576.54$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.645032%16 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over39c518.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011431.6%36 W · 78 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x724f…79ddbacked Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick44cpaid+151.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Under58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over37c473$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0159752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Under61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.844341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…7a49backed Under61c407.63$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over44c401.52$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15211646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa133…1c7dbacked Under60c343.33$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff32…5f58backed Over42c333.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under58c244.31$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.54264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+182.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed Over42c241.83$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.221338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Over42c236.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-49.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under60c222.78$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.112161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over39c217.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.836051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over37c202.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754231%13 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7646453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7642352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7639749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f27…fb8cbacked Over39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Under67c189.95$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.461266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Under60c173.67$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.474100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Under59c169.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8712441.9%52 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under68c168.66$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd2…d794backed Under61c152.85$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5713050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under59c149.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207230.6%22 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a79…7f2fbacked Under61c130$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over40c125.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over38c125$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.512945%58 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.612147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over40c119.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489850%49 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c28…abe9backed Under60c116.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.582157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over44c113.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502450%12 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca7…6e6ebacked Over42c110.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+52.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over12c104.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.673412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.341637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4121444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810944%48 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3055942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under59c99.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9946525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Over40c95.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over38c95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.14341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75a…d528backed Over30c90.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over38c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over38c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.23141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over38c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.235848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a51…14bfbacked Under62c86.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Over41c85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.851353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Under60c84.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Under61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Over30c77.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.512352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over39c77.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.289046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over38c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.56051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over38c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.57450%37 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.