Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. Benin: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x745bcd490bc4fe2bf85bb480276d9acc62d0642fe5d692595a076bc55b9a925b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 8,081$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 7,642$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 69c | 1,731$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,397$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.29 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…34e9backed Yes | 35c | 280.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 39c | 257.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 16c | 235$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked No | 65c | 218.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…c648backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 65c | 149.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Yes | 46c | 118.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 20c | 111.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…5d22backed Yes | 29c | 69.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 64c | 65.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed No | 38c | 65.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 64c | 49.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…1364backed No | 43c | 48.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 38c | 32.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked No | 68c | 28.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked No | 67c | 22.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. Benin: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Egypt vs. Benin: O/U 1.5Over won
- Egypt vs. Benin: O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Benin: O/U 3.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Benin: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.