TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbca7…6e6e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+106.9%+$14.84
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+34.8%+$6.27
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+46.7%+$7.08
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.12
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+90.1%+$9.1
Pistons vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$19.69
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18.18
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+93.2%+$16
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+95.5%+$58.83
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$17.71
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$39.39
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+90.3%+$10.04
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92.92
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8.26
Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 247.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+94.7%+$10.52
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.6%+$11
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$14.4
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+77.5%+$13.21
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$11.84
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$12.73
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.6
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$16.7
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.95
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.62
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.17
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+98.9%+$9.99
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.61
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+84.4%+$12.59
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+71.7%+$8.66
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.9%+$11.38
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+30.2%+$9.14
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-59.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+52.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14.14
Canucks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.15
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$8.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+228.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+228.9%+$37.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$29.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.6%+$31.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.