TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under61c98,641$59,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,825.833930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over40c41,289$16,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,631.051,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Over39c28,569$11,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,141.951330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c15,612$6,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,659.596,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over39c11,809$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,614.922,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over51c11,450$5,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,832.511029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under59c9,407$5,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,812.981,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9df…249ebacked Under46c8,200$3,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c4,537$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.124,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under58c3,423$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.136046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over74c3,218$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.212345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over42c3,096$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.181,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c2,328$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.291,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over49c2,052$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over37c2,002$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.567636.8%28 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over35c2,000$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.2950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under60c1,856$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.49763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over42c1,750$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under51c1,599$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.796654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over41c1,486$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6094841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under49c1,448$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.485752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under35c1,352$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.612,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Under52c1,315$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.233528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over40c1,205$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.263053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over56c1,000$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5562259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over45c916.1$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.0610046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Over73c854.41$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.623348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over53c813.65$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.39946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over41c750$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.55625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over41c722.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over39c627$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed Over65c616.64$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.822254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over38c593.43$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8210433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bda…6c8abacked Over41c502.27$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.931020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1834…a26abacked Over62c486.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Under55c454.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.731931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over52c410.19$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.32161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over47c405.81$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.536145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under60c399.99$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16230149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Over33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over36c350$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Under60c340$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1362630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over41c314.63$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1299242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1724…fc81backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201540%6 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over39c299.96$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Over41c275.76$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.061844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under56c275.09$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2658445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Over40c271.15$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.466262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over73c267.78$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.525256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under47c267.46$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2229041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under73c261.49$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7251542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d0…9bf3backed Over35c245.07$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a97…1a9cbacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over67c242.07$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9716142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under60c239$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.64057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Over37c219.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8820…0118backed Under30c204.59$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under60c196$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.44553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ee…bb0abacked Under61c193.44$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c190$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under59c182.13$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked Over40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over41c163.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.917745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over30c147.06$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9224158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Under60c143$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.22657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb7…99f7backed Over41c131.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Over31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under60c126$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.42955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd00c…d086backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Over44c123.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.484546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Over47c122.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1927141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under60c121$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.44355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606647%31 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under75c119$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under60c116$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.42466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under60c113$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.22475%18 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.