TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Over69c28,901$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,900.588962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c15,821$5,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,460.56,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under32c14,632$4,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,685.192,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over69c12,141$8,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,797.831,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over69c9,437$6,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.534158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under31c9,396$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.064,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under30c7,706$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.7825752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under39c5,433$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.545752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over67c4,812$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.431735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under30c1,949$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.6639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under30c1,825$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.7951542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over56c1,649$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.5318948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under34c1,370$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.92,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Over66c810.06$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.422470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Over67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21729427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over56c517.41$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.662846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over74c462.35$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9117161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over68c461.22$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5958445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over63c411.49$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.497642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Under34c394.95$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7211255.4%62 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Over57c348.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.064245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under28c321.75$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9059958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.126145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1215060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under21c285.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.571,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over79c274.68$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6815263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805461.1%33 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under31c240$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.437557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under30c240$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7235157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c229.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.981,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.392853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6237342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1986…cf16backed Over68c192.54$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.611850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over68c191.18$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.184961.2%30 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under33c191$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.032955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under31c180$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under42c178.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Over68c176.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.474639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over68c174.66$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.891877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef2…50e0backed Over68c161.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.761668.8%11 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over68c160$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.210046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under33c156$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.484148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.066454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.069444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Over56c141.55$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under32c141$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ac…4881backed Over68c139.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.66955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under33c129$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.573455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d0…9bf3backed Over63c126.61$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.611457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under26c122.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.081,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc75d…5a1dbacked Under34c122$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick62cpaid-63.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Over68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.46355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3626158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3625456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3632656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.236758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3628255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3632755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over68c116.91$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4118059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under31c114.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe42…87eebacked Under18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Under18c109$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.623243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under33c101$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.333339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3227752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89bf…2c66backed Under22c99.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over66c95.25$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6910433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under33c89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.372864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Under33c86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.382352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under33c86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.385650%28 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over58c85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.74654.3%25 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under33c84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.724257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4f8…97b3backed Over68c80.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.883464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.827661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over57c79.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7824158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Under33c77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.412646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under33c77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.412360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under33c76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.082060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4655654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under34c70.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7427141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2126959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under33c61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.132657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.633156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.626958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.629657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.633057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.625858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1825558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.