TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x23ee…15cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7335.6%26 W · 47 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.5
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.86
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$1,075
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.49
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.5
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,173.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$575
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$866Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$866.25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60%+$75
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,860.33
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+196.3%+$198.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$450
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,640
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$66.14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$205
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$245
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$231
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+400%+$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+141.5%+$302.05
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$192
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$306
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+83.5%+$455
Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$426
Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$235
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+156.4%+$183
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,468Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+65.2%+$956.8
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$240
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+147.9%+$455.39
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,960Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+52%+$1,539.94
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$197.98
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+80.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$111.5
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+132.6%+$171
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$74.18
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$145.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$224
Spread: Real Madrid (-0.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+66.7%+$76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Basel 1893 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$198
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.