TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes66c35,000$23,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,099.998944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No34c21,848$7,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,419.811861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes68c12,326$8,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,381.683828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No39c8,899$3,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,409.0811355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No34c8,725$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,783.741,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No44c7,843$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,356.18242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No34c7,824$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,163.531844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes66c7,524$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…edb3backed Yes53c5,975$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes41c5,905$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.931,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No37c5,805$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,677.2710752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4002832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9027…4e9ebacked Yes69c3,842$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65140%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No34c3,557$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.0613050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No32c3,126$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.9114452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes63c3,084$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.481154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes65c3,066$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed No32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No35c2,226$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.0121560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes66c2,104$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3801442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes49c2,080$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes67c1,981$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.1624642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No32c1,858$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.756842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked No34c1,760$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes66c1,526$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.51933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c7e…a485backed No35c1,400$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9101100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4211…0c8abacked Yes65c1,400$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes69c1,289$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.621963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes67c1,119$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75019055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed No34c975.21$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes64c879.78$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.339140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes53c878.07$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed Yes66c802.32$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes37c779.2$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7533938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes34c744.15$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4426040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No36c740$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.635037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No35c699.41$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.6923260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes68c565.24$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3829920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes50c520$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes66c508$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.289156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Yes65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No37c471.34$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.946835.3%24 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes66c350$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+76.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e2…1026backed Yes64c345.58$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes67c340.97$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No31c332.98$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.753775.7%28 W · 9 L+10.6wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+62.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes65c320.51$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.333852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes50c309$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0516242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3667…75ffbacked Yes59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No46c295.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.982755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5817…740fbacked Yes69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No35c283.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.897556%42 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c11…e56dbacked Yes67c281.69$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No32c252.32$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.587146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No31c250$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No43c229.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1512343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Yes28c228.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Yes67c222.51$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-61.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No35c210$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1220860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x456b…eb7ebacked Yes61c209.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62fd…8bcfbacked Yes67c203.8$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13620%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1365554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No41c197.69$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.16743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No34c176.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.263961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91ac…a9e7backed Yes68c174.9$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No35c166$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0813655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16a…1e3cbacked Yes65c153.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9987…79dfbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28f3…72febacked Yes67c153.73$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9911644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.56320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.513016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003946.2%18 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes66c128.71$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes66c121.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f27…4377backed Yes53c117.68$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.14540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes69c117.39$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No35c117$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3882…aa2dbacked Yes33c114.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No34c105.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9826845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d57…9569backed Yes50c102.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.54562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed No34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663040%12 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked No31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691850%9 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.