Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Metz vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7522680ceb4ffce13f265d3943cd318d93761c6d01bc8ac4f3091a8f8bde2b30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 57c | 3,781$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.76 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 80c | 2,441$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.22 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 2,136$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.56 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 43c | 1,875$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 42c | 1,522$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 1,139$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.11 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 43c | 326.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 40c | 306.48$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 295.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 222$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked No | 49c | 202.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c11…e56dbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 20c | 157.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…1b24backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 64c | 121.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 49c | 117.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 31c | 81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 79c | 79.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed No | 68c | 78.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…1233backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…ab31backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 80c | 20.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…046ebacked No | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Metz vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Metz win on 2025-10-29?Yes won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.