TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,355 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over61c96,522$58,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,868.643930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c22,879$8,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,974.662,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under39c17,500$6,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,67535652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c17,054$7,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,430.46,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Over60c15,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.983540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under39c14,676$5,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,914.811,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over61c10,129$6,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,177.673545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,10025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under39c5,756$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,510.8716851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c5,104$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.764,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Under39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0502181%17 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+97.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8307251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.983053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under41c2,921$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.6614456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over72c2,711$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa4…34e5backed Under49c2,165$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under46c2,088$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.579134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under39c1,984$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.3139156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over50c1,830$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.0745936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under40c1,829$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.6319239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under42c1,755$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.277450%37 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Over48c1,740$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8423557.1%20 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+54.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over59c1,701$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.486747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under39c1,600$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97629427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under39c1,473$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.5358445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c1,435$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.582,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under39c1,346$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.0621056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…2079backed Over61c1,114$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.41714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over37c1,109$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.4616024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over60c855$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51317428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under39c800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Over51c782.76$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over48c627.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9811142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under40c597.02$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2122229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c571.07$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1930645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under40c540$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32419357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over61c500.49$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30411448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c9…3a79backed Over56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…2d13backed Under57c487.71$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Under43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under39c420$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under39c420$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under39c420$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.237557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over55c418.22$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.022466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under39c411.1$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7751847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc897…f3b3backed Over55c409.09$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.7wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-68.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over61c401.21$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.297544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over36c359.65$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under39c340$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under39c330$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.337554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under39c330$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.335157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18359958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18337958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1837640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under54c298.56$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3410751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Over48c281.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under47c272.34$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3424844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.27850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70be…2c90backed Over38c264.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.532357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa59…ce19backed Over37c233.06$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c220.1$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.711,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under39c220$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12229259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12212951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8214845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1229554.7%52 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f1c…dc61backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under39c190$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.925553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47d3…4255backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under39c180$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under39c180$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.827354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Over60c177.57$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under39c170$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.726158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under39c170$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.732255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under39c170$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.730554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under39c170$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.725456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under39c170$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.726058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under39c170$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.732656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under39c170$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.728255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over60c167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.24660.9%28 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.