TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$634,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$607,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $634,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes12c25,869$3,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,178.625311.5%29 W · 224 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes22c19,978$4,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.082412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c17…83c8backed No77c19,582$15,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,566.611384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc254…3f73backed No74c13,740$10,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+66%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed Yes19c11,915$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.791723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Yes31c10,500$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,224.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed No72c8,450$6,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes31c7,807$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+66.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c7,705$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.375327%37 W · 495 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7e…3e1dbacked No80c7,681$6,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a88…f866backed Yes15c7,466$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x422d…5cedbacked Yes32c6,874$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe97c…2a99backed No75c6,600$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked No77c6,490$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+77.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes12c5,552$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.3310812%13 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes1c5,466$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.792437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes26c4,911$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.435527.3%15 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes1c4,756$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-57.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c8…1da2backed No78c4,416$3,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.332857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes16c4,320$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.211530.4%35 W · 80 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes20c4,286$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…bfdabacked No74c4,196$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.031758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed No67c4,082$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed No78c4,024$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes24c3,820$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.2612937.2%48 W · 81 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes18c3,735$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No60c3,639$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.941127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d73…bae7backed No70c3,625$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.08366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes1c3,566$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.32528%7 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes15c3,451$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.28110%0 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes43c3,267$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.1480%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked No70c2,857$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes32c2,696$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.523030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes20c2,658$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.271145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed No63c2,623$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.774100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes16c2,464$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.65422.2%12 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked No71c2,372$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.93977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.41per pick37cpaid+119.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed No68c2,128$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.610137.6%38 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8af2…c705backed Yes11c2,124$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked No70c2,100$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6287247.2%34 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked Yes20c2,079$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.939138.5%35 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes22c2,056$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.3639429.4%116 W · 278 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed No70c2,000$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.641250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+126.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes22c1,999$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.264045%18 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e0…7934backed Yes37c1,868$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdacf…8d11backed Yes24c1,781$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcad4…1a4cbacked No62c1,742$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes31c1,734$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+54.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes14c1,732$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.42544%11 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+68.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes1c1,710$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-39.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffe…e125backed No71c1,633$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes28c1,594$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.371811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-79.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b1f…62adbacked Yes45c1,565$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79d…4350backed No70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc2…597abacked Yes23c1,500$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.413230.3%40 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8b…5945backed Yes2c1,480$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.150%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc894…b9f6backed Yes24c1,419$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.612240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b7…f103backed Yes30c1,415$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Yes28c1,412$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.529326.9%25 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes4c1,410$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.978711.5%10 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes37c1,369$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe66a…adb0backed No66c1,362$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b44…264ebacked No68c1,342$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.11844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked No62c1,334$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.686665.2%43 W · 23 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed No70c1,309$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed Yes26c1,263$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.2226238.5%101 W · 161 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No80c1,256$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.043132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6590…ad78backed Yes24c1,239$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.113622.8%31 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc406…07d9backed Yes18c1,168$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.973237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes33c1,107$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704734%16 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec7…cb36backed Yes38c1,068$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x190c…8cf4backed Yes29c1,027$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb5…2d13backed Yes37c1,026$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes18c1,024$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2912927.9%36 W · 93 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8453…778dbacked Yes42c1,000$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36c…8715backed Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12190%0 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Yes25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed No78c999.99$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2204100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed No66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc19d…865ebacked Yes27c999.97$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.52911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Yes29c999.88$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.171216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-69.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6630…2f4ebacked Yes28c997.84$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes22c977.21$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc3…b21fbacked No66c966.52$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3281346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes25c961.69$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.682313%3 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Yes28c957.08$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9e…be96backed Yes31c944.09$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.232661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffab…48a9backed Yes11c939.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8f…d077backed No75c935.88$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.161770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x722c…1011backed Yes8c905.8$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes9c900.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.452532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x830e…7099backed Yes31c840$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5870%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21d5…9925backed No71c837.03$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f2…9518backed Yes35c815.71$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes26c813.95$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1230837.7%116 W · 192 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c2…8594backed Yes11c803.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c2…f1d3backed Yes36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No70c783$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.88742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc46…4fb8backed No74c774.82$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.