Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f667ddde4be0f763fa1fe226e03f1d2c640c67d11761328b96aeee669d1447f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 29c | 3,946$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.62 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ea…0882backed Yes | 26c | 2,947$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.66 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -85%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 27c | 2,478$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.47 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 77c | 2,212$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 11c | 1,904$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,837$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 79c | 1,613$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.9 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5785…efccbacked Yes | 7c | 1,140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,081$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…9437backed Yes | 11c | 1,031$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 69c | 1,001$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.29 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Yes | 6c | 799.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 6c | 770.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 73c | 754.56$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.29 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 62c | 729.45$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.1 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 38c | 631.01$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.78 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 3c | 622.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked No | 63c | 532.24$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…ea38backed Yes | 8c | 399.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 6c | 380.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed Yes | 20c | 328$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 67c | 258.77$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 9c | 243.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 68c | 238.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 43c | 233.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 65c | 224$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 79c | 222$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Yes | 43c | 216.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 79c | 195.11$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 10c | 155.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…b39dbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e4…4928backed Yes | 18c | 112.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cf…43cebacked No | 77c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 19c | 70.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…2698backed No | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked No | 73c | 54.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Yes | 30c | 45.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c1…642ebacked No | 69c | 36.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…cc93backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…12b9backed No | 56c | 27.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 57c | 25.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…a16abacked No | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa5…3c24backed No | 68c | 17.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 63c | 16.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?this page
- Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with María Corina Machado in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.