Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc89401b0d892987a1696442b97f736fab0a683c925eda4032cebbc3fb587759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 1c | 4,879$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 2c | 1,989$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,316$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.31 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 68c | 1,179$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.8 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,001$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.69 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 735.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 26c | 477.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 57c | 466.55$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.05 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 59c | 459.24$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed No | 37c | 450$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 18c | 414$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 21c | 390$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 53c | 385$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 31c | 346.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…cc5cbacked Yes | 36c | 320.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 25c | 262.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…f4e9backed No | 78c | 142.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…abc1backed Yes | 35c | 141.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed No | 23c | 127.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…19c0backed No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 62c | 112.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 27c | 109.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Yes | 79c | 107.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…274ebacked No | 27c | 100.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2343…e30cbacked Yes | 41c | 97.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 72c | 81.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc342…885fbacked Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +571.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 23c | 73.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Yes | 34c | 72.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…efd3backed No | 53c | 69.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…20e2backed No | 53c | 56.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 70c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…6b43backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 79c | 39.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 79c | 39.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…07d1backed Yes | 53c | 37.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…7346backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes | 70c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5c…39f6backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with María Corina Machado in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.